Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 13

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Defensores del Chaco (Asunción)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 1
Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Australia	SBS On Demand
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV 2, Zapping
Colombia	Caracol TV, RCN Television
Costa-rica	Tigo Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
El-salvador	Tigo Sports
France	New World TV
Guatemala	Tigo Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand
Montenegro	Arena Premium 3
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	GEN
Peru	GOL Peru, Movistar TV App
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Lite, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
Uruguay	Antel TV, AUFTV, Cardinal TV, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	BYM Sports, Inter
World	Disney+


	Paraguay		Chile

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	5.5
	1.78	3.25	4.8
	1.85	3.25	5
	1.8	3.41	5.34
	1.81	3.32	5.1	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.8
	1.87	3.43	5.29	Watch
	1.85	3.25	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.87)	3.3 ↓ (3.32)	5.1 ↑ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraguay
52.5%

Draw
28.8%

Chile
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

28.7%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraguay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	6.7%	3.3%

Paraguay - Chile Predictions

Users Predictions: Paraguay will win (27 of 29 users predict this - 93.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.88% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Fernandez R. (G) Cerro Porteno 4. Caceres J. Dynamo Moscow 5. Fabian Balbuena (C) Dynamo Moscow 3. Alderete O. Getafe 6. Alonso J. Atletico-MG 14. Cubas A. Vancouver Whitecaps 7. Sosa R. Nottingham 16. Bobadilla D. Sao Paulo 19. Enciso J. Ipswich 10. Almiron M. Atlanta United 9. Sanabria A. Torino	23. Cortes B. (G) Colo Colo 14. Loyola F. Independiente 3. Maripan G. Torino 5. Diaz P. River Plate 17. Suazo G. Toulouse 8. Vidal A. (C) Colo Colo 6. Pizarro V. Colo Colo 18. Echeverria R. Club Leon 7. Cepeda L. Colo Colo 11. Eduardo Vargas Club Nacional 9. Aravena A. Gremio
Substitutes
11. Angel Romero Corinthians 18. Avalos G. Independiente 1. Carlos Coronel (G) New York Red Bulls 13. Dejesus R. Lanus 22. Espinola J. (G) CA Belgrano de Cordoba 8. Galarza M. Talleres Cordoba 17. Kaku Al Ain 15. Lezcano R. Fluminense 21. Pitta I. Bragantino 23. Sandez A. Rosario Central 2. Velazquez G. Cerro Porteno 20. Villasanti M. Gremio	20. Aranguiz C. U. De Chile 10. Cabral L. Independiente 1. Castellon G. (G) U. De Chile 21. Fernandez N. U. De Chile 4. Kuscevic B. Fortaleza 16. Osorio D. Midtjylland 13. Pavez E. Colo Colo 19. Sierralta F. Watford 15. Valdes D. Club America 12. Vigouroux L. (G) Swansea 2. Wiemberg E. Colo Colo 22. Zampedri F. U. Catolica
Coaches
Alfaro G.	Gareca R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bobadilla D. ↓, Galarza M. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Alderete O. ⚽, Sanabria A. (A),
60', Aravena A. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
71', Pizarro V. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
71', Vidal A. ↓, Zampedri F. ↑,
72', Eduardo Vargas ↓, Aranguiz C. ↑,
77', Sanabria A. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
83', Cepeda L. ↓, Osorio D. ↑,
86', Almiron M. ↓, Villasanti M. ↑,
86', Sosa R. ↓, Kaku ↑,
90+1', Enciso J. ↓, Angel Romero ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paraguay won 0.

In this match Paraguay is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Paraguay won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraguay
FIFA World Cup
19.11.24	Bolivia - Paraguay	2:2 ✺
14.11.24	Paraguay - Argentina	2:1 ✺
15.10.24	Paraguay - Venezuela	2:1 ✺
10.10.24	Ecuador - Paraguay	0:0 ✺
10.09.24	Paraguay - Brazil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.3 TWWTW
- Chile
Friendly
08.02.25	Chile - Panama	6:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
19.11.24	Chile - Venezuela	4:2 ✺
15.11.24	Peru - Chile	0:0 ✺
15.10.24	Colombia - Chile	4:0 ✺
10.10.24	Chile - Brazil	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
11.06.24	Chile - Paraguay	3:0
FIFA World Cup
16.11.23	Chile - Paraguay	0:0
Friendly
27.03.23	Chile - Paraguay	3:2
FIFA World Cup
11.11.21	Paraguay - Chile	0:1
10.10.21	Chile - Paraguay	2:0
Copa America
24.06.21	Chile - Paraguay	0:2
FIFA World Cup
31.08.17	Chile - Paraguay	0:3

Paraguay - Chile: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide