Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 10

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Defensores del Chaco (Asunción)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 3
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol
Israel	Sport 3
Malaysia	Astro SuperSport 3
Norway	VG+
Peru	Movistar App, Movistar Deportes
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
Uruguay	AUFTV, Eventos Montecable, Flow, NS Eventos, TCC 2
World	El Canal del Futbol app, Fanatiz


	Paraguay		Venezuela

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	4.1	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.9
	2.15	3	4.2
	2.16	2.95	4.3
	2.12	2.94	4.22	Watch
	2.2	3.04	4.31	Watch
	2.15	3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.86)	2.98 ↓ (3.47)	4.18 ↓ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraguay
44.8%

Draw
32.2%

Venezuela
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

27.7%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paraguay's form might have worsened.

Venezuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52%	32%	16%

Paraguay - Venezuela Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Paraguay will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). Venezuela will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paraguay: 33.7% – 75.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Fernandez R. (G) Botafogo RJ 6. Alonso J. Atletico-MG 15. Gustavo Gomez (C) Palmeiras 3. Alderete O. Getafe 4. Caceres J. Lanus 14. Cubas A. Vancouver Whitecaps 8. Gomez D. Inter Miami 7. Sosa R. Nottingham 10. Almiron M. Newcastle Utd 19. Enciso J. Brighton 21. Pitta I. Cuiaba	22. Romo R. (G) U. Catolica 4. Aramburu J. Real Sociedad 14. Ramirez R. Cusco 2. Ferraresi N. Sao Paulo 15. Navarro M. Talleres Cordoba 6. Herrera Y. Girona 18. Casseres C. Toulouse 11. Machis D. Valladolid 7. Savarino J. Botafogo RJ 23. Rondon S. (C) Pachuca 10. Soteldo Y. Gremio
Substitutes
11. Angel Romero Corinthians 18. Arce A. LDU Quito 16. Bobadilla D. Sao Paulo 1. Carlos Coronel (G) New York Red Bulls 23. Cuenca Martinez H. F. AC Milan 22. Espinola J. (G) CA Belgrano de Cordoba 5. Fabian Balbuena Dynamo Moscow 17. Kaku Al Ain 9. Sanabria A. Torino 13. Sandez A. Rosario Central 2. Velazquez G. Newells Old Boys 20. Villasanti M. Gremio	17. Andrade K. Fortaleza 12. Baroja A. (G) Always Ready 20. Bello E. Barcelona SC 9. Cadiz J. Club Leon 19. Castillo E. Kaizer Chiefs 1. Farinez W. (G) Caracas 21. Gonzalez A. Emelec 5. Makoun C. Levski Sofia 13. Ramirez J. Vitoria Guimaraes 8. Rincon T. Santos 16. Segovia T. Casa Pia 3. Vivas C. Dep. Tachira
Coaches
Alfaro G.	Batista F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Navarro M. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Aramburu J. ⚽, Soteldo Y. (A),
33', Batista F. 🟨,
35', Caceres J. 🟨,
38', Soteldo Y. 🟨,
41', Enciso J. (Pen),
45+3', Casseres C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sosa R. ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
46', Pitta I. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Sanabria A. ⚽, Alonso J. (A),
63', Alderete O. 🟨,
66', Savarino J. ↓, Cadiz J. ↑,
68', Cadiz J. 🟨,
70', Aramburu J. 🟨,
74', 2 - 1, Sanabria A. ⚽, Enciso J. (A),
79', Machis D. ↓, Bello E. ↑,
80', Casseres C. ↓, Segovia T. ↑,
80', Almiron M. ↓, Fabian Balbuena ↑,
80', Gomez D. ↓, Bobadilla D. ↑,
87', Bello E. 🟨,
88', Enciso J. ↓, Villasanti M. ↑,
88', Ferraresi N. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paraguay won 3.

Paraguay will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Paraguay won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.7:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraguay
FIFA World Cup
10.10.24	Ecuador - Paraguay	0:0 ✺
10.09.24	Paraguay - Brazil	1:0 ✺
06.09.24	Uruguay - Paraguay	0:0 ✺
Copa America
02.07.24	Costa Rica - Paraguay	2:1 ✺
28.06.24	Paraguay - Brazil	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 TWTLL
- Venezuela
FIFA World Cup
10.10.24	Venezuela - Argentina	1:1 ✺
10.09.24	Venezuela - Uruguay	0:0 ✺
05.09.24	Bolivia - Venezuela	4:0 ✺
Copa America
05.07.24	Venezuela - Canada	1:2 penalties ✺
30.06.24	Jamaica - Venezuela	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
12.09.23	Venezuela - Paraguay	1:0
09.09.21	Paraguay - Venezuela	2:1
13.10.20	Venezuela - Paraguay	0:1
10.10.17	Paraguay - Venezuela	0:1
08.10.15	Venezuela - Paraguay	0:1
11.10.13	Venezuela - Paraguay	1:1
11.09.12	Paraguay - Venezuela	0:2

Paraguay - Venezuela: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide