What is the expert prediction for Venezuela vs Uruguay?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Venezuela vs Uruguay. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Venezuela vs Uruguay Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Tuesday, September 10, 2024)

Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 8

Date: 10 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Monumental de Maturín (Maturín)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 1
Argentina	TyC Sports 2, TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Bolivia	Cotegua, Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV 2, Zapping
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol
France	DAZN France, New World TV
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	Sport 3
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	VG+
Peru	GOL Peru, Movistar App, Movistar Deportes
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	Arena Premium 1
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+ 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
Uruguay	Antel TV, AUFTV, Eventos Montecable, Flow, NS Eventos, TCC 2
Venezuela	Televen, TVES, Venevision
World	Disney+, El Canal del Futbol app, Fanatiz


	Venezuela		Uruguay

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.5	Watch
	2.95	2.87	2.55
	3.2	3	2.55
	3.35	2.92	2.61
	3.22	2.94	2.5	Watch
	3.27	3.05	2.62	Watch
	3.2	3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.35)	2.97 ↓ (3.2)	2.55 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and World Championship with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Venezuela
30.1%

Draw
32.3%

Uruguay
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

29.9%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Uruguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12%	32%	56%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Venezuela will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Uruguay will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uruguay: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Romo R. (G) U. Catolica 4. Aramburu J. Real Sociedad 3. Osorio Y. Parma 2. Ferraresi N. Sao Paulo 15. Navarro M. Talleres Cordoba 18. Casseres C. Toulouse 20. Bello E. Barcelona SC 13. Martinez J. Corinthians 16. Segovia T. Casa Pia 10. Soteldo Y. Gremio 23. Rondon S. (C) Pachuca	1. Rochet S. (C) Internacional 13. Varela G. Flamengo RJ 2. Bueno S. Wolves 3. Caceres S. Club America 6. Olaza L. Krasnodar 7. Martinez E. Midtjylland 5. Ugarte M. Manchester United 10. Rodriguez B. Club America 11. Pellistri F. Panathinaikos 17. Olivera C. Los Angeles FC 20. Araujo M. Sporting Lisbon
Substitutes
17. Alfonzo D. Millonarios 12. Baroja A. (G) Always Ready 5. Bueno J. Philadelphia Union 9. Cadiz J. Club Leon 1. Graterol J. (G) America De Cali 11. Machis D. Valladolid 6. Makoun C. Levski Sofia 19. Murillo J. Atlas 21. Ramirez E. Tigre 14. Ramirez R. Cusco 8. Rincon T. Santos 7. Savarino J. Botafogo RJ	4. Fonseca N. River Plate 12. Israel F. (G) Sporting Lisbon 22. Marichal N. Dynamo Moscow 23. Mele S. (G) Junior 19. Miguel Merentiel Boca Juniors 8. Palacios T. Estudiantes L.P. 9. Pino L. Montevideo City 15. Rodriguez J. Vasco 18. Rodriguez L. Bahia 14. Sant'Anna A. River Plate 16. Saracchi M. Boca Juniors 21. Torres F. Orlando City
Coaches
Batista F.	Bielsa M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Caceres S. ↓, Marichal N. ↑,
27', Ugarte M. 🟨,
27', Casseres C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Araujo M. ↓, Miguel Merentiel ↑,
53', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
54', Rodriguez B. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
59', Bello E. ↓, Machis D. ↑,
59', Segovia T. ↓, Savarino J. ↑,
65', Miguel Merentiel 🟨,
67', Navarro M. 🟨,
82', Casseres C. ↓, Rincon T. ↑,
88', Torres F. ↓, Fonseca N. ↑,
88', Pellistri F. ↓, Saracchi M. ↑,
89', Martinez J. 🟨,
90', Martinez E. 🟨,
90+1', Rondon S. ↓, Cadiz J. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Venezuela won 1.

Venezuela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Uruguay will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Venezuela won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-10.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezuela
FIFA World Cup
05.09.24	Bolivia - Venezuela	4:0 ✺
Copa America
05.07.24	Venezuela - Canada	1:2 penalties ✺
30.06.24	Jamaica - Venezuela	0:3 ✺
26.06.24	Venezuela - Mexico	1:0 ✺
22.06.24	Ecuador - Venezuela	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LLWWW
- Uruguay
FIFA World Cup
06.09.24	Uruguay - Paraguay	0:0 ✺
Friendly
01.09.24	Guatemala - Uruguay	1:1 ✺
Copa America
13.07.24	Canada - Uruguay	2:3 penalties ✺
10.07.24	Uruguay - Colombia	0:1 ✺
06.07.24	Uruguay - Brazil	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
01.02.22	Uruguay - Venezuela	4:1
08.06.21	Venezuela - Uruguay	0:0
05.10.17	Venezuela - Uruguay	0:0
06.10.16	Uruguay - Venezuela	3:0
Copa America
09.06.16	Uruguay - Venezuela	0:1
FIFA World Cup
11.06.13	Venezuela - Uruguay	0:1
02.06.12	Uruguay - Venezuela	1:1

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Venezuela - Uruguay: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide