Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: South American Championship U20 - Final Group - Round 4

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de la UCV (Caracas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	SporTV
Chile	DirecTV Sports
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Antel TV, AUFTV, DirecTV Sports, Eventos Montecable, Flow, NS Eventos, TCC 2, TV Ciudad
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Paraguay U20		Uruguay U20

	1	X	2
	4.3	3.55	1.68
	5.04	3.81	1.68
	4.92	3.87	1.66	Watch
	4.6	3.5	1.62
	4.97	3.93	1.69
	4.3	3.55	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.69 ↑ (3.6)	3.7 ↑ (3.27)	1.67 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraguay U20
19.7%

Draw
24.9%

Uruguay U20
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

28%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

23.9%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraguay U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paraguay U20's form might have worsened.

Uruguay U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Uruguay U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paraguay U20 than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paraguay U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay U20 than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Uruguay U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	4.8%	85.7%

Paraguay U20 - Uruguay U20 Predictions

Users Predictions: Uruguay U20 will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Insfran F. (G) Olimpia Asuncion 15. Paoli G. 5. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. Cerro Porteno 3. Balbuena A. 4. Leon D. Cerro Porteno 18. Guinazu L. Talleres Cordoba 6. Aguayo A. Sol de America 7. Aguayo G. Cerro Porteno 21. Alfonso O. 14. Morinigo T. Olimpia Asuncion 9. Caballero Fleytas T. I. Nacional Asuncion	1. Martinez K. (G) Danubio 13. Gonzalez F. Danubio 3. Calione P. Club Nacional 5. Rodriguez J. Penarol 6. Pacifico P. Defensor Sp. 17. Zalazar M. Schalke 4. Agazzi L. Defensor Sp. 8. Helguera T. Braga 20. Pino L. Montevideo City 7. Lavega J. Fluminense 10. Petit G. Club Nacional
Substitutes
2. Arguello M. Olimpia Asuncion 20. Duarte M. 19. Fernandez D. Sol de America 17. Fretes A. Libertad Asuncion 16. Gomez L. 10. Kmet L. 23. Leguizamon A. Guarani 11. Mino Amarilla C. E. Guarani 8. Puzzo S. Talleres Cordoba 13. Ramos D. Sportivo Iteno 12. Rojas V. (G) Libertad Asuncion 22. Sosa L. (G)	11. Albarracin A. Boston River 18. Barbas G. Penarol 12. Bonilla F. (G) Club Nacional 22. Calcagno B. Palencia CF 19. Crucci E. Wanderers 16. Cuello E. Defensor Sp. 15. Montero A. 23. Ortiz Ferreira V. F. (G) Maldonado 14. Peralta M. Danubio 2. Ramos N. Club Nacional 21. Severo A. Racing Montevideo
Coaches
Duscher A.	Coito F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Paoli G. 🟨,
29', Guinazu L. 🟨,
42', Lavega J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Agazzi L. ↓, Severo A. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Paoli G. ⚽, Caballero Fleytas T. I. (A),
56', Helguera T. ↓, Crucci E. ↑,
65', Zalazar M. ↓, Peralta M. ↑,
67', Pacifico P. 🟨,
67', Aguayo G. 🟨,
68', Paoli G. ↓, Arguello M. ↑,
68', Alfonso O. ↓, Kmet L. ↑,
73', Lavega J. ↓, Montero A. ↑,
73', Pacifico P. ↓, Calcagno B. ↑,
78', Caballero Fleytas T. I. 🟨,
80', Insfran F. 🟨,
88', Morinigo T. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
88', Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
90', Pino L. 🟨,
90+2', Balbuena A. 🟨,
90+6', Aguayo A. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Loyola Marymount won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Pacific could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Loyola Marymount is certain favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Loyola Marymount won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 775:707 (average 77.5:70.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Loyola Marymount won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 427:371 (average 85.4:74.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraguay U20
South American Championship U20
10.02.25	Paraguay U20 - Brazil U20	1:3 ✺
07.02.25	Paraguay U20 - Chile U20	2:1 ✺
04.02.25	Colombia U20 - Paraguay U20	4:0 ✺
31.01.25	Paraguay U20 - Chile U20	2:1 ✺
29.01.25	Paraguay U20 - Venezuela U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWLWW
- Uruguay U20
South American Championship U20
10.02.25	Chile U20 - Uruguay U20	1:1 ✺
07.02.25	Uruguay U20 - Argentina U20	3:4 ✺
04.02.25	Uruguay U20 - Brazil U20	0:1 ✺
31.01.25	Venezuela U20 - Uruguay U20	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Uruguay U20 - Peru U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

South American Championship U20
27.01.25	Uruguay U20 - Paraguay U20	6:0
Friendly
26.09.24	Uruguay U20 - Paraguay U20	0:2
South American Championship U20
09.02.23	Uruguay U20 - Paraguay U20	1:0
Friendly
10.06.22	Paraguay U20 - Uruguay U20	0:1
26.04.22	Uruguay U20 - Paraguay U20	2:1
12.12.21	Paraguay U20 - Uruguay U20	1:3
South American Championship U20
26.01.19	Uruguay U20 - Paraguay U20	1:0

Paraguay U20 - Uruguay U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide