Match Info

Date: 24 November 2020, Tuesday


	Paraná Clube Curitiba		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	3.1	Watch
	2.25	2.95	3.1
	2.35	2.88	2.95
	2.43	2.9	3
	2.58	2.98	3.22
	2.5	2.8	3.1
	2.51	2.98	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.08)	2.93 ↓ (3.14)	3.08 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraná Clube Curitiba
38.1%

Draw
31.7%

Guaraní Asuncion
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

29.5%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

19.3%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraná Clube Curitiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paraná Clube Curitiba's form might have worsened.

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paraná Clube Curitiba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guaraní Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paraná Clube Curitiba - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 13).

Paraná is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Guaraní is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paraná could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Paraná won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Paraná won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Brazilian Serie B
20.11.20	Juventude - Paraná Clube Curitiba	5:0 ✺
13.11.20	Avaí - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:1 ✺
06.11.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Confiança	1:1 ✺
30.10.20	Cruzeiro - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0 ✺
26.10.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Osasco Sporting	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLTLW
- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
21.11.20	12 de Octubre - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
20.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Botafogo SP	2:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
12.11.20	Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
09.11.20	Cruzeiro - Guaraní Asuncion	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
18.08.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:2
21.09.19	Guaraní Asuncion - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0
18.05.19	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0
19.09.17	Guaraní Asuncion - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:4
10.06.17	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1
28.08.12	Guaraní Asuncion - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:0
19.05.12	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Guaraní Asuncion	N/A

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