Match Info

Date: 16 November 2020, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Guaraní Asuncion		San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	4	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.8
	1.8	3.4	3.85
	1.79	3.6	3.95
	1.85	3.77	4.36
	1.83	3.5	4
	1.82	3.54	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.68)	3.57 ↓ (3.62)	4.02 ↓ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
50.9%

Draw
26%

San Lorenzo
23%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55%

25.4%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

15.1%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guaraní Asuncion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Lorenzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	20%	30%

Guaraní Asuncion - San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 15 - 50%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 9 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guaraní: 32.1% – 67.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 11 and 9).

Two teams are playing changeable.

San Lorenzo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Guaraní is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
12.11.20	Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
09.11.20	Cruzeiro - Guaraní Asuncion	3:3 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Club General Díaz	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
06.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - CS Alagoano	2:1 ✺
01.11.20	Juventude - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTWWL
- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.11.20	Aldosivi - San Lorenzo	1:4 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
12.11.20	San Lorenzo - Sportivo Luqueño	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
07.11.20	San Lorenzo - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.11.20	12 de Octubre - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
01.11.20	Olimpia Asuncion - San Lorenzo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
09.08.20	San Lorenzo - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1
17.01.20	Guaraní Asuncion - San Lorenzo	0:0
10.11.19	San Lorenzo - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0
24.08.19	Guaraní Asuncion - San Lorenzo	3:1
08.04.19	Guaraní Asuncion - San Lorenzo	4:1
06.02.19	San Lorenzo - Guaraní Asuncion	1:3
20.09.15	San Lorenzo - Guaraní Asuncion	2:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.10.26	Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	✺
- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.10.26	Vélez Sársfield - San Lorenzo	✺

Guaraní Asuncion - San Lorenzo