Match Info

Date: 12 February 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Paraná Clube Curitiba		Londrina

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.1
	3.4	2.95	2.1
	3.6	3.05	1.9	Watch
	3.4	2.95	2.1
	4.03	2.8	2.11
	3.5	2.88	2.1
	3.66	3.06	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.48)	2.96 ↓ (3.04)	2.07 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraná Clube Curitiba
25.5%

Draw
30.6%

Londrina
43.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.6%

30.4%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

22.7%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraná Clube Curitiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paraná Clube Curitiba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Londrina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paraná Clube Curitiba - Londrina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Paraná is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Londrina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Londrina will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Paraná won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Paraná won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
09.02.22	FC Cascavel - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:1 ✺
05.02.22	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Operário Ferroviario	0:3 ✺
02.02.22	São-Joseense - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0 ✺
29.01.22	Maringá - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0 ✺
26.01.22	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Azuriz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
09.02.22	Londrina - Coritiba	1:3 ✺
06.02.22	FC Cascavel - Londrina	2:0 ✺
03.02.22	Londrina - Athletico Paranaense	1:1 ✺
29.01.22	Azuriz - Londrina	0:1 ✺
26.01.22	Londrina - São-Joseense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
18.04.21	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Londrina	1:1
01.03.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Londrina	2:2
Brazilian Serie B
28.10.19	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Londrina	1:0
30.07.19	Londrina - Paraná Clube Curitiba	3:0
Copa do Brasil
19.02.19	Londrina - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:1 penalties
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
10.02.19	Londrina - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:2
25.03.18	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Londrina	1:2 penalties

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
01.11.26	Londrina - América Mineiro	✺

Paraná Clube Curitiba - Londrina