Match Info

Date: 1 December 2020, Tuesday


	Paraná Clube Curitiba		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.87	2.7	Watch
	2.6	2.65	2.85
	2.65	2.7	2.8	Watch
	2.65	2.7	2.9
	2.82	2.77	3.16
	2.62	2.7	3
	2.75	2.77	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.59)	2.74 ↓ (2.8)	2.91 (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraná Clube Curitiba
34.6%

Draw
33.7%

Vitória Salvador
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

32.9%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

22.5%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraná Clube Curitiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paraná Clube Curitiba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória Salvador could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paraná Clube Curitiba - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 15).

Paraná has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Vitória is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paraná could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Paraná won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Paraná won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Brazilian Serie B
27.11.20	Operário Ferroviario - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0 ✺
24.11.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2 ✺
20.11.20	Juventude - Paraná Clube Curitiba	5:0 ✺
13.11.20	Avaí - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:1 ✺
06.11.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Confiança	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie B
28.11.20	Vitória Salvador - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
25.11.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
20.11.20	Vitória Salvador - Ponte Preta	0:0 ✺
12.11.20	Vitória Salvador - Figueirense	3:0 ✺
08.11.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
29.08.20	Vitória Salvador - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0
08.11.19	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Vitória Salvador	0:0
10.08.19	Vitória Salvador - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0
Brazilian Serie A
04.11.18	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Vitória Salvador	1:1
18.07.18	Vitória Salvador - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0
Copa do Brasil
19.04.17	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Vitória Salvador	0:0
13.04.17	Vitória Salvador - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:2

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