Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 1

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Barradao (Salvador)

Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)


	Vitória Salvador		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.95	2.85
	2.55	3	2.75
	2.56	3.04	3.19
	2.5	3	2.88
	2.49	3.14	2.96	Watch
	2.45	3.05	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.26)	3.03 ↑ (3)	2.92 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
37.3%

Draw
30.8%

Ponte Preta
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

30.8%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

30.9%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Vitória Salvador - Ponte Preta Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitória won 2.

Recent matches Vitória is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ponte Preta in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ponte Preta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Ponte Preta: Everton (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Vitória won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.03.23	Campinense - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
08.03.23	Vitória Salvador - Ceará	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Bahia - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.03.23	Nova Iguaçu - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
26.02.23	Vitória Salvador - Barcelona de Ilhéus	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWTLT
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
08.04.23	Ponte Preta - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 penalties ✺
05.04.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Ponte Preta - Piracicaba	2:0 ✺
25.03.23	Piracicaba - Ponte Preta	0:3 ✺
21.03.23	Ponte Preta - Comercial SP	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
30.10.21	Ponte Preta - Vitória Salvador	0:0
20.07.21	Vitória Salvador - Ponte Preta	1:0
20.11.20	Vitória Salvador - Ponte Preta	0:0
14.08.20	Ponte Preta - Vitória Salvador	3:3
27.10.19	Ponte Preta - Vitória Salvador	1:2
27.07.19	Vitória Salvador - Ponte Preta	2:1
Brazilian Serie A
26.11.17	Ponte Preta - Vitória Salvador	2:3

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