Match Info

Date: 2 August 2021, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Paraná Clube Curitiba		Ypiranga

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.51
	3.5	3.5	2.05
	4.7	4.1	1.53
	4.93	4.2	1.65
	5	3.9	1.53
	5.75	4.4	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↑ (2.7)	4.02 ↑ (3.4)	1.62 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraná Clube Curitiba
19.4%

Draw
23.2%

Ypiranga
57.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.3%

27.2%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

21.7%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraná Clube Curitiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paraná Clube Curitiba's form might have worsened.

Ypiranga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ypiranga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (+28.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paraná Clube Curitiba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (-26.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ypiranga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.5%	10.6%	80.9%

Paraná Clube Curitiba - Ypiranga Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Paraná will win (votes: 4 - 8.5%). Ypiranga will win (votes: 38 - 80.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 10.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ypiranga: 69.7% – 92.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Recent matches Paraná is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ypiranga is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ypiranga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paraná won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Brazilian Serie C
23.07.21	Osasco Sporting - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:1 ✺
19.07.21	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:2 ✺
10.07.21	Mirassol - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:3 ✺
04.07.21	Criciúma - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0 ✺
26.06.21	Paraná Clube Curitiba - EC São José Porto Alegre	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLWLW
- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
24.07.21	Ypiranga - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:1 ✺
18.07.21	Ituano - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
09.07.21	Ypiranga - Grêmio Novorizontino	3:2 ✺
03.07.21	Osasco Sporting - Ypiranga	2:4 ✺
28.06.21	Ypiranga - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
31.05.21	Ypiranga - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0

Paraná Clube Curitiba - Ypiranga