Match Info

Champions League Women - League phase - Round 4

Date: 19 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade Jean Bouin (Paris)

Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Paris FC		Benfica

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	4.5
	1.7	3.95	4.15
	1.69	4.13	4.01
	1.92	4.03	3.30	Watch
	1.66	3.77	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.92)	3.94 ↓ (4.03)	4.13 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
53.8%

Draw
23.7%

Benfica
22.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.6%

23.1%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

24.2%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris FC's performance.

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benfica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Paris FC - Benfica Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Paris FC (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Paris FC will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris FC will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Chavas M. (G) 18. N'Dongala M. 2. Hocine C. 19. Greboval T. 3. Bogaert L. 24. Le Moguedec A. 4. Korosec K. 11. Scott S. 27. Mendy M. 9. Azzaro L. 10. Mateo C. (C)	1. Pauels L. (G) 19. Amado C. 16. Ucheibe C. 22. Gomes D. 5. Lund M. 56. Boeckmann C. 6. Cameirao B. 18. Engesvik R. 10. Moller C. 13. Sousa Alves L. C. (C) 7. Martin-Prieto Gutierrez C.
Substitutes
29. Davis D. 7. Garbino M. 22. Haheim N. 26. Liaigre F. 1. Marques I. (G) 30. Mendonca R. (G) 21. Picard O. 15. Sangare H. 23. Sissoko T. 34. Yerro S.	14. Almeida L. 15. Costa C. 66. Costa R. (G) 25. Davidson C. 23. Gasper A. 77. Guedes N. 12. Lima T. (G) 20. Martins L. 21. Pauleta 9. Raysla N. 3. Silva J. 55. Tristao C.
Coaches
Soubeyrand S.	Baptista I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Moller C. 🟨,
30', Moller C. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Mendy M. ⚽, Le Moguedec A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mendy M. ↓, Garbino M. ↑,
46', Engesvik R. ↓, Gasper A. ↑,
59', Boeckmann C. ↓, Almeida L. ↑,
59', N'Dongala M. ↓, Liaigre F. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Garbino M. ⚽, Le Moguedec A. (A),
65', Lund M. ↓, Raysla N. ↑,
65', Cameirao B. ↓, Davidson C. ↑,
65', Scott S. ↓, Haheim N. ↑,
65', Hocine C. ↓, Davis D. ↑,
71', Baptista I. 🟨,
80', Martin-Prieto Gutierrez C. ↓, Martins L. ↑,
83', Korosec K. ↓, Picard O. ↑,
85', Gasper A. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Paris FC has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Benfica is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Paris FC has had a series of away games.

In this match, Paris FC is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC Women
UEFA Champions League Women
11.11.25	Real Madrid - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
French Division 1 Women
07.11.25	Lens - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	OL Lyonnes - Paris FC	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Paris FC - Olympique Marseille	6:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
15.10.25	Chelsea - Paris FC	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWLWL
- SL Benfica Women
UEFA Champions League Women
12.11.25	Benfica - Twente	1:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
08.11.25	Torreense - Benfica	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Benfica - Marítimo	5:0 ✺
Portugal Taça de Liga Women
19.10.25	Marítimo - Benfica	1:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
16.10.25	Benfica - Arsenal LFC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TWWWL

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