Match Info

Premiere Ligue Women - Round 8

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Charlety (Paris)

Referee: Goncalves C. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


International	FIFA+


	Paris FC		Montpellier

	1	X	2
	1.21	5.5	9.4
	1.19	5.65	11.8
	1.22	5.6	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.75)	5.58 ↑ (3.75)	10.4 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
75.1%

Draw
16.2%

Montpellier
8.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.5%

24.4%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

23.7%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris FC's performance.

Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montpellier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-21.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paris FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montpellier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Paris FC - Montpellier Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Chavas M. (G) 2. Hocine C. 29. Davis D. 19. Greboval T. 3. Bogaert L. 24. Le Moguedec A. 4. Korosec K. 11. Scott S. 15. Sangare H. 10. Mateo C. (C) 7. Garbino M.	1. Lerond J. (G) 3. Levasseur M. 18. Rastocle J. 6. Palis E. 35. Baylet C. 15. Blanc C. 99. Kadzere R. 17. Coquet J. 8. Ouchene S. (C) 22. Gstalter L. 11. Rouquet J.
Substitutes
9. Azzaro L. 22. Haheim N. 26. Liaigre F. 1. Marques I. (G) 18. N'Dongala M. 21. Picard O. 34. Yerro S.	28. Bacoul-Juillard K. 9. Chabod C. 20. Felden A. 33. Koko I. 21. Ngueleu N. 14. Rambaud E. 40. Yilmaz C. (G)
Coaches
Soubeyrand S.	Chandioux Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Bogaert L. ⚽,
45+1', Blanc C. ↓, Rambaud E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Scott S. ↓, Picard O. ↑,
46', Sangare H. ↓, Azzaro L. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Ouchene S. (Pen),
61', Garbino M. ↓, N'Dongala M. ↑,
61', Bogaert L. ↓, Liaigre F. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Azzaro L. ⚽, Picard O. (A),
68', Gstalter L. ↓, Koko I. ↑,
77', Azzaro L. 🟨,
78', Kadzere R. ↓, Ngueleu N. ↑,
78', Baylet C. ↓, Bacoul-Juillard K. ↑,
81', Hocine C. ↓, Yerro S. ↑,
90+2', Davis D. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 4.

Paris FC is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Montpellier has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Montpellier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Paris FC is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Paris FC won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC Women
UEFA Champions League Women
19.11.25	Paris FC - Benfica	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Real Madrid - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
French Division 1 Women
07.11.25	Lens - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	OL Lyonnes - Paris FC	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Paris FC - Olympique Marseille	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTWLW
- Montpellier FC Women
French Division 1 Women
07.11.25	Montpellier - OL Lyonnes	1:5 ✺
01.11.25	Saint-Étienne - Montpellier	4:2 ✺
18.10.25	Montpellier - Lens	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Montpellier - Strasbourg	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Le Havre - Montpellier	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Division 1 Women
29.03.25	Montpellier - Paris FC	2:0
09.11.24	Paris FC - Montpellier	4:2
29.03.24	Paris FC - Montpellier	3:0
09.12.23	Montpellier - Paris FC	1:4
10.03.23	Paris FC - Montpellier	2:0
28.10.22	Montpellier - Paris FC	1:3
15.04.22	Paris FC - Montpellier	3:1

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