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Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Champions League Women - League phase - Round 4
  • Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday
  • Location: Parc des Princes (Paris)
  • Referee: Pesu A. (Rou)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Paris Saint-Germain Bayern Munich
    Paris Saint-Germain Bayern Munich
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.64 ↑
    (3.07)    		 4.09 ↑
    (3.9)    		 1.82 ↓
    (2.05)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

    • The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Paris Saint-Germain
    25.7%    		Draw
    22.9%    		Bayern Munich
    51.4%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    30.4% 24% 45.6%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    29.7% 23.5% 46.6%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayern Munich's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    18.2% 9.1% 72.7%

    Paris Saint Germain - Bayern Munich Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Bayern will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 54.1% – 91.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - PSG (2.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - PSG (3.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -4 - Bayern (23.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Bayern (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    27. EnglandEarps M. (G)
    12. BrazilIsabela
      5. FranceDe Almeida E.
    29. FranceMbock G.
    77. SpainCarmona O.
      8. BrazilYaya
    26. FranceEbayilin A.
      7. FranceKarchaoui S. (C)
    10. NigeriaAjibade R.
    17. NetherlandsLeuchter R.
      6. NigeriaEchegini J.
    		32. GermanyMahmutovic E. (G)
      7. GermanyGwinn G.
      4. IcelandViggosdottir G. (C)
      5. SwedenEriksson M.
    20. GermanyKett F.
    27. ItalyCaruso A.
    31. EnglandStanway G.
    10. GermanyDallmann L.
    18. JapanTanikawa M.
    17. GermanyBuhl K.
    21. DenmarkHarder P.
    Substitutes
    24. FranceBenera B.
      9. NorwayBrennskag-Dorsin F.
    22. FranceDiakite T.
    20. FranceElimbi T.
    19. USAGaetino E.
    21. FranceGraziani O.
    14. NetherlandsGroenen J.
    30. DRKanjinga M.
      1. PolandKiedrzynek K. (G)
    39. FranceMorissaint L.
      2. FranceSamoura T.
    33. FranceToussaint O. (G)
    		  3. DenmarkBallisager S.
      9. SerbiaDamnjanovic J.
      2. CanadaGilles V.
      1. GermanyGrohs M. (G)
    38. GermanyKlink A. (G)
    19. AustriaNaschenweng K.
    23. PolandPadilla N.
    14. GermanySehitler A.
    30. GermanySimon C.
    Coaches
         BrazilPaulo C.
    		     SpainBarcala J.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 2)
    • 16', 1 - 0, Karchaoui S. ⚽, Ajibade R. (A),
    • 17', 1 - 1, Dallmann L. ⚽,
    • 34', 1 - 2, Tanikawa M. ⚽, Buhl K. (A),
    • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
    • 55', Ajibade R. ↓, Kanjinga M. ↑,
    • 66', Dallmann L. ↓, Sehitler A. ↑,
    • 68', Yaya 🟨,
    • 74', Caruso A. ↓, Damnjanovic J. ↑,
    • 77', Leuchter R. ↓, Morissaint L. ↑,
    • 77', Yaya ↓, Groenen J. ↑,
    • 85', Isabela ↓, Samoura T. ↑,
    • 85', Echegini J. ↓, Elimbi T. ↑,
    • 88', Harder P. ↓, Gilles V. ↑,
    • 89', 1 - 3, Damnjanovic J. ⚽,

    Preview

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 1.
  • Recent performances by PSG have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Bayern is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
  • Recently, Bayern has had a series of home games.
  • Bayern could have a small edge in this match.
  • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, PSG won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
  • Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Paris Saint-Germain Féminines
    UEFA Champions League Women
    12.11.25 Manchester United - Paris Saint-Germain 2:1 ✺
    French Division 1 Women
    08.11.25 Paris Saint-Germain - Fleury 91 4:0 ✺
    01.11.25 Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre 2:0 ✺
    19.10.25 Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Women
    16.10.25 Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid 1:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4
    LWWWL
    - FC Bayern Munich Women
    UEFA Champions League Women
    12.11.25 Bayern Munich - Arsenal LFC 3:2 ✺
    German Bundesliga Women
    07.11.25 Bayern Munich - Union Berlin 4:0 ✺
    04.11.25 Nürnberg - Bayern Munich 0:6 ✺
    01.11.25 Bayern Munich - SGS Essen 4:1 ✺
    19.10.25 Bayern Munich - Köln 5:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9
    WWWWW
    Latest Head to Head
    UEFA Champions League Women
    30.01.24 Bayern Munich - Paris Saint-Germain 2:2
    23.11.23 Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich 0:1
    30.03.22 Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich 2:2 ET
    22.03.22 Bayern Munich - Paris Saint-Germain 1:2
    Club Friendly Women
    18.08.21 Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich 2:3 penalties
    06.08.19 Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich 2:1
    10.08.18 Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich 1:1

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