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Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Champions League Women - League phase - Round 2
  • Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday
  • Location: Paris Saint-Germain Training Center (Poissy)
  • Referee: Pachtova M. (Cze)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Paris Saint-Germain Real Madrid
    Paris Saint-Germain Real Madrid
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.96 ↓
    (3.57)    		 3.84 ↑
    (3.76)    		 2.13 ↑
    (1.88)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

    • The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Paris Saint-Germain
    31.6%    		Draw
    24.3%    		Real Madrid
    44%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    26% 24.6% 49.4%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    25.6% 24.2% 50.2%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris Saint-Germain's performance.
  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paris Saint-Germain that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    30% 30% 40%

    Paris Saint Germain - Real Madrid Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Real Madrid will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real Madrid: 9.6% – 70.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - PSG (2.27) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Real Madrid (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Real Madrid (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    27. EnglandEarps M. (G)
      5. FranceDe Almeida E.
      2. FranceSamoura T.
    29. FranceMbock G.
    10. NigeriaAjibade R.
      6. NigeriaEchegini J.
    22. FranceDiakite T.
      7. FranceKarchaoui S. (C)
    77. SpainCarmona O.
    30. DRKanjinga M.
    20. FranceElimbi T.
    		13. GermanyFrohms M. (G)
    19. SpainNavarro E.
    23. FranceLakrar M.
    14. SpainMendez M.
    12. BrazilYasmim
      6. FranceToletti S.
    16. SwedenAngeldal F.
    10. ScotlandWeir C. (C)
    18. ColombiaCaicedo L.
    20. FranceFeller N.
    11. SpainRedondo A.
    Substitutes
      9. NorwayBrennskag-Dorsin F.
      3. USADunn C.
    26. FranceEbayilin A.
    19. USAGaetino E.
    21. FranceGraziani O.
    14. NetherlandsGroenen J.
    12. BrazilIsabela
    11. CanadaJourde F.
      1. PolandKiedrzynek K. (G)
    17. NetherlandsLeuchter R.
    40. FranceMasson C. (G)
      8. BrazilYaya
    		22. SwedenAndersson B.
    27. SpainBejarano N.
    17. SwedenBennison H.
      5. SpainComendador P.
      8. GermanyDabritz S.
      7. Spaindel Castillo A.
      4. SpainGalvez Luna R.
    21. DenmarkHolmgaard S.
    24. NetherlandsKeukelaar L.
    26. SpainLopez L. (G)
      1. SpainMisa (G)
    43. SpainSantiago I.
    Coaches
         BrazilPaulo C.
    		     SpainQuesada P.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 2)
    • 11', Lakrar M. 🟨,
    • 16', Frohms M. ↓, Misa ↑,
    • 29', 0 - 1, Feller N. ⚽, Yasmim (A),
    • 45+2', 0 - 2, Redondo A. ⚽,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
    • 58', 1 - 2, Ajibade R. ⚽, Karchaoui S. (A),
    • 62', Caicedo L. ↓, del Castillo A. ↑,
    • 62', Redondo A. ↓, Dabritz S. ↑,
    • 68', Ajibade R. 🟨,
    • 74', Feller N. 🟨,
    • 76', Feller N. ↓, Santiago I. ↑,
    • 77', Elimbi T. ↓, Graziani O. ↑,
    • 81', Echegini J. ↓, Jourde F. ↑,
    • 90+1', Kanjinga M. ↓, Leuchter R. ↑,
    • 90+1', Diakite T. ↓, Groenen J. ↑,
    • 90+8', Yasmim 🟨,
    • 90+8', De Almeida E. 🟨,

    Preview

  • Recent performances by PSG have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Real Madrid is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Real Madrid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
  • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, PSG won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).
  • Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Paris Saint-Germain Féminines
    UEFA Champions League Women
    08.10.25 Wolfsburg - Paris Saint-Germain 4:0 ✺
    French Division 1 Women
    04.10.25 Paris Saint-Germain - Dijon 1:0 ✺
    27.09.25 OL Lyonnes - Paris Saint-Germain 6:1 ✺
    20.09.25 Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes 5:2 ✺
    06.09.25 Lens - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6
    LWLWT
    - Real Madrid Women
    Spanish Liga F Women
    12.10.25 Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid 1:4 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Women
    08.10.25 Real Madrid - Roma 6:2 ✺
    Spanish Liga F Women
    04.10.25 Real Madrid - Badalona 3:0 ✺
    28.09.25 Tenerife - Real Madrid 0:0 ✺
    21.09.25 Real Madrid - Deportivo A Coruña 4:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4
    WWWTW
    Latest Head to Head
    UEFA Champions League Women
    16.12.22 Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid 2:1
    26.10.22 Real Madrid - Paris Saint-Germain 0:0
    18.11.21 Real Madrid - Paris Saint-Germain 0:2
    09.11.21 Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid 4:0

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