The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paris Saint-Germain 74.4%
Draw 15.7%
Girona 9.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.5%
20.4%
16.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.2%
19.9%
15.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris Saint-Germain's performance.
Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Girona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paris Saint-Germain that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Girona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.7%
5.3%
3%
Paris Saint Germain - Girona Predictions
Users Predictions:
Paris Saint-Germain will win
(120 of 130 users predict this - 92.31%). Confidence interval (95%): 87.73% – 96.89%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
39. Safonov M. (G) 2. Hakimi A. 5. Marquinhos (C) 51. Pacho W. 25. Mendes N. 33. Zaire-Emery W. 17. Vitinha 8. Ruiz F. 10. Dembele O. 11. Asensio M. 29. Barcola B.
13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 4. Martinez A. 5. Lopez D. 18. Krejci L. 3. Gutierrez M. 23. Martin I. 14. Romeu O. 6. van de Beek D. 8. Tsygankov V. 20. Gil B. 7. Stuani C. (C)
Substitutes
35. Beraldo L. 14. Doue D. 23. Kolo Muani R. 19. Lee Kang-In 24. Mayulu S. 70. Mouquet L. (G) 87. Neves J. 37. Skriniar M. 80. Tenas A. (G) 42. Zague Y.
10. Asprilla Y. 17. Blind D. 11. Danjuma A. 16. Frances A. 15. Juanpe 25. Lopez P. (G) 19. Miovski B. 24. Portu 9. Ruiz A. 22. Solis Romero J. E.
Coaches
Luis Enrique
Michel
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Marquinhos 🟨,
20', Krejci L. 🟨,
39', Asensio M. ↓, Kolo Muani R. ↑,
43', Romeu O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', van de Beek D. ↓, Danjuma A. ↑,
58', Stuani C. ↓, Portu ↑,
63', Vitinha ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
63', Barcola B. ↓, Doue D. ↑,
63', Ruiz F. ↓, Neves J. ↑,
66', Gil B. ↓, Asprilla Y. ↑,
66', Martin I. ↓, Solis Romero J. E. ↑,
74', Gazzaniga P. 🟨,
88', Tsygankov V. ↓, Frances A. ↑,
90', 1 - 0, Gazzaniga P. (Own goal), Mendes N. (A),
90+2', Dembele O. ↓, Beraldo L. ↑,
Preview
PSG in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Girona is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Girona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match PSG is indisputable favorite.
Our prediction for today's PSG to win the game is with odds 1.36.
Watch
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Safonov M. (G) 
Hakimi A. 
Marquinhos (C) 
Pacho W. 
Mendes N. 
Zaire-Emery W. 
Ruiz F. 
Gazzaniga P. (G) 
Krejci L. 
van de Beek D. 
Tsygankov V. 
Stuani C. (C) 
Lee Kang-In 
Skriniar M. 
Asprilla Y. 
Miovski B. 
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