Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 33

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Parc des Princes (Paris)

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	Caze TV
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN
Finland	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	Sport 5 Max
Italy	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 5
Mexico	FOX+, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport+
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 4
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	Onefootball


	Paris Saint-Germain		Brest

	1	X	2
	1.2	7.5	11	Watch
	1.19	8	12.5
	1.19	7.4	12.5	Watch
	1.22	7.86	13.89
	1.24	7.1	12.05	Watch
	1.2	7	12
	1.22	7.96	11.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↑ (1.16)	7.55 ↓ (7.68)	12.23 ↓ (14.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
79.4%

Draw
12.7%

Brest
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.3%

12.3%

6.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.2%	21.7%	13%

Paris Saint Germain - Brest Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Brest will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
89. Marin R. (G) 24. Mayulu S. 6. Zabarnyi I. 5. Marquinhos (C) 21. Hernandez L. 27. Fernandez D. 4. Beraldo L. 8. Ruiz F. 19. Lee Kang-In 9. Ramos G. 29. Barcola B.	30. Coudert G. (G) 71. Le Guen R. 24. Tousart L. 4. Diaz Jr. M. 7. Dina Ebimbe J. 13. Chotard J. 8. Magnetti H. (C) 27. Guindo D. 10. Del Castillo R. 19. Ajorque L. 23. Doumbia K.
Substitutes
42. Boly D. 10. Dembele O. 14. Doue D. 7. Kvaratskhelia K. 54. Lucea D. 49. Mbaye I. 87. Neves J. 39. Safonov M. (G) 17. Vitinha	17. Balde M. 5. Chardonnet B. 29. Diop S. 14. Labeau Lascary R. 39. Lassus A. 1. Majecki R. (G) 33. Makalou H. 99. Mboup P. 12. Zogbe L.
Coaches
Luis Enrique	Roy E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Lee Kang-In ↓, Doue D. ↑,
61', Ramos G. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
61', Ruiz F. ↓, Kvaratskhelia K. ↑,
67', Doumbia K. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
69', Barcola B. ↓, Neves J. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Doue D. ⚽, Hernandez L. (A),
87', Del Castillo R. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
88', Tousart L. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 12).

PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 5.

PSG is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Brest has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

PSG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, PSG is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in PSG: Chevalier L. (Muscle Injury) Hakimi A. (Thigh Injury) Mendes N. (Thigh Injury) Ndjantou Q. (Muscle Injury) Pacho W. (Thigh Injury) Zaire-Emery W. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Brest: Coulibaly S. (Leg Injury) Lala K. (Yellow Cards) Locko B. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSG won 19 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 59:15. (average 3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:5. (average 2.7:0.6).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

PSG: 70.91% Brest: 0.35%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	PSG	5	2	2	1	8:7	1	8
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	7:8	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain
UEFA Champions League
06.05.26	Bayern Munich - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
02.05.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Lorient	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich	5:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
25.04.26	Angers - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3 ✺
22.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTWWW
- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
03.05.26	Paris FC - Brest	4:0 ✺
24.04.26	Brest - Lens	3:3 ✺
19.04.26	Nantes - Brest	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Brest - Rennes	3:4 ✺
21.03.26	Auxerre - Brest	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
25.10.25	Brest - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3
UEFA Champions League
19.02.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Brest	7:0
11.02.25	Brest - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3
French Ligue 1
01.02.25	Brest - Paris Saint-Germain	2:5
14.09.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Brest	3:1
Coupe De France
07.02.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Brest	3:1
French Ligue 1
28.01.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Brest	2:2

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