Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 33

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parc des Princes (Paris) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	16:00	Caze TV
Bulgaria	22:00	Nova Sport
Canada	15:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	15:00	Disney+
China	03:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	21:00	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN Sports 3
Israel	22:00	Sport 5 Max
Italy	21:00	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:00	Setanta Sports
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 5
Mexico	13:00	FOX+, FOX One
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport+
Paraguay	15:00	ESPN
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV3
Romania	22:00	Voyo
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Variety 4
South Korea	04:00	Coupang Play
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	21:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	22:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
International	19:00	Onefootball


	Paris Saint-Germain		Brest

	1	X	2
	1.2	7.5	11	Watch
	1.19	8	12.5
	1.19	7.4	12.5	Watch
	1.22	7.86	13.89
	1.24	7.1	12.05	Watch
	1.2	7	12
	1.22	7.96	11.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↑ (1.16)	7.55 ↓ (7.68)	12.23 ↓ (14.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
79.4%

Draw
12.7%

Brest
7.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

81.3%

12.3%

6.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.2%	21.7%	13%

Paris Saint Germain - Brest Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Brest will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
89. Marin R. (G) 24. Mayulu S. 6. Zabarnyi I. 5. Marquinhos (C) 21. Hernandez L. 27. Fernandez D. 4. Beraldo L. 8. Ruiz F. 19. Lee Kang-In 9. Ramos G. 29. Barcola B.	30. Coudert G. (G) 71. Le Guen R. 24. Tousart L. 4. Diaz Jr. M. 7. Dina Ebimbe J. 13. Chotard J. 8. Magnetti H. (C) 27. Guindo D. 10. Del Castillo R. 19. Ajorque L. 23. Doumbia K.
Substitutes
42. Boly D. 10. Dembele O. 14. Doue D. 7. Kvaratskhelia K. 54. Lucea D. 49. Mbaye I. 87. Neves J. 39. Safonov M. (G) 17. Vitinha	17. Balde M. 5. Chardonnet B. 29. Diop S. 14. Labeau Lascary R. 39. Lassus A. 1. Majecki R. (G) 33. Makalou H. 99. Mboup P. 12. Zogbe L.
Coaches
Luis Enrique	Roy E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Lee Kang-In ↓, Doue D. ↑,
61', Ramos G. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
61', Ruiz F. ↓, Kvaratskhelia K. ↑,
67', Doumbia K. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
69', Barcola B. ↓, Neves J. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Doue D. ⚽, Hernandez L. (A),
87', Del Castillo R. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
88', Tousart L. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 12).

PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 5.

PSG is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Brest has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

PSG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, PSG is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in PSG: Chevalier L. (Muscle Injury) Hakimi A. (Thigh Injury) Mendes N. (Thigh Injury) Ndjantou Q. (Muscle Injury) Pacho W. (Thigh Injury) Zaire-Emery W. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Brest: Coulibaly S. (Leg Injury) Lala K. (Yellow Cards) Locko B. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSG won 19 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 59:15. (average 3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:5. (average 2.7:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSG	8	5	2	1	16:9	7	17
13	Brest	8	2	3	3	14:12	2	9

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

PSG: 79.14% Brest: 0.25%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain
UEFA Champions League
06.05.26	Bayern Munich - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
02.05.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Lorient	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich	5:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
25.04.26	Angers - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3 ✺
22.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTWWW
- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
03.05.26	Paris FC - Brest	4:0 ✺
24.04.26	Brest - Lens	3:3 ✺
19.04.26	Nantes - Brest	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Brest - Rennes	3:4 ✺
21.03.26	Auxerre - Brest	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
25.10.25	Brest - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3
UEFA Champions League
19.02.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Brest	7:0
11.02.25	Brest - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3
French Ligue 1
01.02.25	Brest - Paris Saint-Germain	2:5
14.09.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Brest	3:1
Coupe De France
07.02.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Brest	3:1
French Ligue 1
28.01.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Brest	2:2

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