What is the expert prediction for Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain?

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Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, February 28, 2026)

Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Océane (Le Havre)

Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic, TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Mexico	FOX One
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	Cignal Play
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 4
South-america	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Le Havre		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	8.5	6.25	1.29	Watch
	8.75	6	1.3
	10.5	5.9	1.27	Watch
	10.38	6.46	1.28
	9.76	6.3	1.3	Watch
	9.5	5.5	1.25
	11.3	6.4	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.81 ↑ (9.08)	6.12 ↑ (6.01)	1.28 (1.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
9.8%

Draw
15.7%

Paris Saint-Germain
74.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.4%

15.7%

73.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.7%	7.4%	88.9%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 1 - 3.7%). PSG will win (votes: 24 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 77.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - PSG (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Le Havre (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 1 - 14.3%). PSG (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Diaw M. (G) 29. Zagadou S. 15. Seko A. 4. Lloris G. 32. Pembele T. 26. Ebonog S. 19. Gourna-Douath L. 18. Zouaoui Y. 14. Ndiaye R. 45. Soumare I. (C) 17. Boufal S.	39. Safonov M. (G) 2. Hakimi A. (C) 6. Zabarnyi I. 51. Pacho W. 21. Hernandez L. 33. Zaire-Emery W. 17. Vitinha 27. Fernandez D. 19. Lee Kang-In 29. Barcola B. 7. Kvaratskhelia K.
Substitutes
13. Doucoure F. 8. Kechta Y. 10. Mambimbi F. 78. Mosengo D. N. 77. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 33. Quetant K. 25. Samatta A. 27. Vinette E. K. 6. Youte Kinkoue E.	4. Beraldo L. 30. Chevalier L. (G) 14. Doue D. 89. Marin R. (G) 5. Marquinhos 49. Mbaye I. 25. Mendes N. 9. Ramos G.
Coaches
Digard D.	Luis Enrique

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Pembele T. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Barcola B. ⚽, Lee Kang-In (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Fernandez D. ↓, Mendes N. ↑,
61', Lee Kang-In ↓, Doue D. ↑,
61', Pembele T. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
62', Zouaoui Y. ↓, Vinette E. K. ↑,
71', Boufal S. ↓, Quetant K. ↑,
71', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
79', Doue D. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Gourna-Douath L. ↓, Samatta A. ↑,
84', Doucoure F. 🟨,
84', Zagadou S. ↓, Kechta Y. ↑,
87', Ebonog S. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 0.

Le Havre has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

PSG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Le Havre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, PSG is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Le Havre: Nego L. (Injury) Sangante A. (Red Card) Toure A. (Knee Injury) Youte Kinkoue E. (Health problems)

There will not play in PSG: Dembele O. (Calf Injury) Mayulu S. (Calf Injury) Ndjantou Q. (Muscle Injury) Neves J. (Ankle Injury) Ruiz F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Le Havre: Seko A. (Ribs Injury) Zagadou S. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:25. (average 0.7:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:15. (average 0.3:5).

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Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

PSG: 93.32%

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSG	27	20	3	4	61:23	38	63
14	Le Havre	27	6	9	12	22:35	-13	27

Last Results with these Odds

Paris Saint-Germain - the odds 1.28 are the expected chance of winning is 73.86%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
22.02.26	Nantes - Le Havre	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Le Havre - Toulouse	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Le Havre - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Lens - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Le Havre - Monaco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LWWLT
- Paris Saint-Germain
UEFA Champions League
25.02.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco	2:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
21.02.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Metz	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.02.26	Monaco - Paris Saint-Germain	2:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
13.02.26	Rennes - Paris Saint-Germain	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
22.11.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre	3:0
19.04.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre	2:1
16.08.24	Le Havre - Paris Saint-Germain	1:4
27.04.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre	3:3
03.12.23	Le Havre - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2
Club Friendly
21.07.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre	2:0
12.07.20	Le Havre - Paris Saint-Germain	0:9

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