The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Parla 22.4%
Draw 26.2%
Móstoles URJC 51.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18%
24.9%
57%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.4%
24.1%
58.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Parla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Móstoles URJC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parla than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Móstoles URJC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Parla - Móstoles URJC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+4', Neves H. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 1 - 0, ⚽,
64', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parla won 0.
In recent matches, Parla has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Móstoles has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Parla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Móstoles is the team to beat.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Parla won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.8:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Parla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
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