Match Info

Date: 26 March 2022, Saturday


	Pasaia		Tolosa

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.25	4.4
	1.78	3.1	3.75
	1.76	3.15	4.1
	1.79	3.24	4.08
	1.82	3.34	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.55)	3.22 ↓ (3.6)	4.11 ↓ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pasaia
50.4%

Draw
27.8%

Tolosa
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

25.2%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

24.3%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pasaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pasaia's form might have worsened.

Tolosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tolosa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pasaia than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pasaia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolosa than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tolosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pasaia - Tolosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Pasaia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tolosa has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Pasaia is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pasaia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Pasaia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pasaia KE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
19.03.22	Leioa - Pasaia	0:0 ✺
12.03.22	Pasaia - Urduliz	1:2 ✺
05.03.22	Anaitasuna - Pasaia	0:0 ✺
26.02.22	Pasaia - Durango	0:2 ✺
20.02.22	Basconia - Pasaia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLTLL
- Tolosa FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
19.03.22	Tolosa - Uritarra	1:3 ✺
12.03.22	San Ignacio - Tolosa	3:1 ✺
05.03.22	Tolosa - Barakaldo	2:3 ✺
26.02.22	Tolosa - Leioa	0:3 ✺
20.02.22	Urduliz - Tolosa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
20.11.21	Tolosa - Pasaia	0:1
01.11.19	Pasaia - Tolosa	0:2

Pasaia - Tolosa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide