Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Pasaia		Durango

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.92	2.42
	2.78	2.74	2.67
	2.73	2.93	2.64	Watch
	2.88	2.88	2.45
	2.81	3.12	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.7)	2.92 ↓ (3)	2.55 (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pasaia
32.8%

Draw
31.3%

Durango
35.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.8%

30.4%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

30.4%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pasaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pasaia than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durango than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Pasaia - Durango Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Arino Yurrebaso G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pasaia won 1.

Pasaia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Durango is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pasaia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pasaia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pasaia KE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
14.12.25	Aretxabaleta - Pasaia	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Pasaia - Zamudio	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Santurtzi - Pasaia	1:3 ✺
15.11.25	Pasaia - Real Sociedad C	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Pasaia - Zarautz KE	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTWTL
- SCD Durango
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
13.12.25	Durango - Lagun Onak	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Deusto - Durango	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Durango - Portugalete	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	San Ignacio - Durango	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Durango - Derio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
10.05.25	Durango - Pasaia	0:0
11.01.25	Pasaia - Durango	3:2
03.02.24	Durango - Pasaia	1:0
16.09.23	Pasaia - Durango	1:1
28.01.23	Durango - Pasaia	1:1
24.09.22	Pasaia - Durango	0:1
26.02.22	Pasaia - Durango	0:2

Pasaia - Durango