Match Info

Date: 5 March 2022, Saturday


	Tolosa		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.6	1.57
	4.7	3.2	1.6
	5	3.25	1.59
	5.32	3.31	1.61
	5.5	3.7	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (5.04)	3.41 ↓ (3.42)	1.59 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tolosa
17.6%

Draw
26.2%

Barakaldo
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

25.9%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

16.1%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Tolosa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolosa than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tolosa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-21.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barakaldo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tolosa - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Tolosa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Barakaldo is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tolosa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tolosa FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
26.02.22	Tolosa - Leioa	0:3 ✺
20.02.22	Urduliz - Tolosa	1:1 ✺
16.02.22	Tolosa - Anaitasuna	2:0 ✺
12.02.22	Durango - Tolosa	2:3 ✺
06.02.22	Tolosa - Basconia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 LTWWL
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
02.03.22	Barakaldo - Deusto	1:0 ✺
26.02.22	Barakaldo - Beasain	1:3 ✺
20.02.22	Leioa - Barakaldo	1:0 ✺
16.02.22	Barakaldo - Santutxu	4:0 ✺
12.02.22	Urduliz - Barakaldo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
31.10.21	Barakaldo - Tolosa	4:2

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