Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 19

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Futbol Paraguayo, Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+


	Pastoreo		Guarani de Fram

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.95	2.55
	2.58	3.1	2.52
	2.57	3.09	2.54
	1.41	4.34	7.48	Watch
	2.62	3.1	2.5
	2.56	3.1	2.52
	2.85	3.33	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.88)	3.29 ↑ (3.25)	3.18 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pastoreo
39.8%

Draw
29.6%

Guarani de Fram
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

27.6%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

26.8%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pastoreo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pastoreo's performance.

Guarani de Fram has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guarani de Fram might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pastoreo than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pastoreo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani de Fram than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guarani de Fram could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pastoreo - Guarani de Fram Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Adorno M. ⚽,
45+2', Vera R. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 2 - 0, Candia P. ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, Viveros F. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 15).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Pastoreo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Guarani de Fram is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pastoreo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pastoreo FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
21.07.25	River Plate Asunción - Pastoreo	0:0 ✺
13.07.25	Pastoreo - Rubio Ñu	1:4 ✺
06.07.25	Pastoreo - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:2 ✺
27.06.25	Pastoreo - Deportivo Santaní	2:1 ✺
22.06.25	Tacuary - Pastoreo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLLWT
- Guarani de Fram
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
18.07.25	Guarani de Fram - Deportivo Santaní	4:1 ✺
12.07.25	Tacuary - Guarani de Fram	3:1 ✺
05.07.25	Guarani de Fram - Resistencia	1:2 ✺
02.07.25	Guarani de Fram - Guaireña	3:2 ✺
23.06.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Guarani de Fram	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
21.04.25	Guarani de Fram - Pastoreo	3:3

Pastoreo - Guarani de Fram: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide