Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 16

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Tigo Sports 3
Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Pastoreo		Sportivo San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.2	2.3
	2.45	3.05	2.62
	2.37	3.22	2.79
				Watch
	2.43	2.99	2.75
	2.7	3.3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.7)	3.15 ↓ (3.3)	2.55 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pastoreo
35.9%

Draw
28.7%

Sportivo San Lorenzo
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

27.3%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

28.1%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pastoreo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Sportivo San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pastoreo than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Pastoreo - Sportivo San Lorenzo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pastoreo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Medina C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Lezcano K. 🟥,
66', Quinonez A. 🟥,
84', 0 - 2, Duarte J. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pastoreo won 1.

Pastoreo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Sportivo San Lorenzo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sportivo San Lorenzo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pastoreo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Pastoreo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pastoreo FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
27.06.25	Pastoreo - Deportivo Santaní	2:1 ✺
22.06.25	Tacuary - Pastoreo	0:0 ✺
15.06.25	Pastoreo - Resistencia	3:1 ✺
06.06.25	Guaireña - Pastoreo	1:1 ✺
01.06.25	Pastoreo - Sportivo Carapeguá	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WTWTW
- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
29.06.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Fernando de la Mora	1:0 ✺
21.06.25	Deportivo Santaní - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
14.06.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Encarnación	1:2 ✺
07.06.25	Tacuary - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
30.05.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - 12 de Junio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
28.03.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Pastoreo	1:0
27.07.24	Pastoreo - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:0
22.04.24	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Pastoreo	3:1
28.07.23	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Pastoreo	0:1
23.04.23	Pastoreo - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:0
22.07.22	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Pastoreo	1:2

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