Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 18

Date: 21 July 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio River Plate (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	River Plate Asunción		Pastoreo

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.95	3.6
	2.08	3	3.35
	1.88	3.56	4.29
	2.37	2.36	4.34	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.8
	2.08	3.02	3.49
	2.42	3.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.37)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)	3.67 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Asunción
43.7%

Draw
31%

Pastoreo
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

28.8%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

28.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Asunción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Pastoreo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pastoreo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Asunción than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pastoreo than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pastoreo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

River Plate Asunción - Pastoreo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Pastoreo will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - River Plate (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Sosa C. 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Pastoreo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Pastoreo has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, River Plate won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Asunción
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
12.07.25	Deportivo Santaní - River Plate Asunción	3:1 ✺
07.07.25	River Plate Asunción - Tacuary	1:0 ✺
27.06.25	River Plate Asunción - Resistencia	3:3 ✺
22.06.25	Guaireña - River Plate Asunción	0:1 ✺
16.06.25	River Plate Asunción - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWTWL
- Pastoreo FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
13.07.25	Pastoreo - Rubio Ñu	1:4 ✺
06.07.25	Pastoreo - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:2 ✺
27.06.25	Pastoreo - Deportivo Santaní	2:1 ✺
22.06.25	Tacuary - Pastoreo	0:0 ✺
15.06.25	Pastoreo - Resistencia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
12.04.25	Pastoreo - River Plate Asunción	2:0
18.08.22	River Plate Asunción - Pastoreo	1:2

River Plate Asunción - Pastoreo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide