Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 14

Date: 23 June 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	Sportivo Carapeguá		Guarani de Fram

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.3
	2.06	3.05	3.52
				Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.5
	2.12	3.31	3.38
	2.08	3.2	3.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2)	3.09 ↓ (3.4)	3.39 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Carapeguá
43.8%

Draw
29.4%

Guarani de Fram
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

26.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

26%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Carapeguá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Guarani de Fram has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani de Fram than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Sportivo Carapeguá - Guarani de Fram Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Carapeguá will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Guarani de Fram will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guarani de Fram: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carapeguá (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Carapeguá (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Carapeguá (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Carapeguá (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Viveros F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 1 - 1, Benitez M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 16).

In recent matches, Carapeguá has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guarani de Fram is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Carapeguá will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Carapeguá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
16.06.25	River Plate Asunción - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:2 ✺
07.06.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Rubio Ñu	1:1 ✺
01.06.25	Pastoreo - Sportivo Carapeguá	3:1 ✺
25.05.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Deportivo Santaní	4:0 ✺
21.05.25	Tacuary - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTLWL
- Guarani de Fram
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
16.06.25	Guarani de Fram - Independiente Asuncion	0:1 ✺
08.06.25	Sol de América - Guarani de Fram	0:0 ✺
30.05.25	Guarani de Fram - Fernando de la Mora	1:1 ✺
23.05.25	Encarnación - Guarani de Fram	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Guarani de Fram - 12 de Junio	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTTTL

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