Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 11

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Tigo Sports 3
Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Pastoreo		Sportivo Carapeguá

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.95	2.2
	3.2	3.1	2.15
	3.05	3.05	2.16
	3.29	3.17	2.14	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.25
	3.33	3.22	2.18
	3.2	3.1	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (3.03)	3.07 ↑ (3.02)	2.18 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pastoreo
28.7%

Draw
29.6%

Sportivo Carapeguá
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

30.4%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

30.2%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pastoreo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Sportivo Carapeguá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pastoreo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Pastoreo - Sportivo Carapeguá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Lezcano K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, Solis R. ⚽,
83', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 4).

Recent form of Pastoreo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Carapeguá is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Carapeguá is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pastoreo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Pastoreo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pastoreo FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
26.05.25	Independiente Asuncion - Pastoreo	2:0 ✺
21.05.25	Pastoreo - Sol de América	0:1 ✺
16.05.25	Fernando de la Mora - Pastoreo	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Pastoreo - Encarnación	1:1 ✺
02.05.25	12 de Junio - Pastoreo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTTT
- Sportivo Carapeguá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
25.05.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Deportivo Santaní	4:0 ✺
21.05.25	Tacuary - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:1 ✺
15.05.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Resistencia	2:1 ✺
08.05.25	Guaireña - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
27.09.24	Sportivo Carapeguá - Pastoreo	3:1
22.06.24	Pastoreo - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:3
22.09.23	Pastoreo - Sportivo Carapeguá	3:1
19.06.23	Sportivo Carapeguá - Pastoreo	1:2

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