Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA B - APERTURA - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 18 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Independencia (Tunja)


	Patriotas		Llaneros SA

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	2.9	3.7
	2	3.1	4
	2.07	3.05	4.26
	2	2.8	4
	1.98	3.05	3.94
	2.05	3	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.98)	2.98 ↓ (3.22)	3.93 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patriotas
45.8%

Draw
30.8%

Llaneros SA
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

28.2%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

28.8%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Patriotas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	44.4%	22.2%

Patriotas - Llaneros SA Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Patriotas will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Llaneros SA will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roman S. (G) 4. Alarcon A. 29. Ayala J. 17. Charris C. 9. Cordoba S. 25. De Las Salas C. 11. Gomez M. 3. Moreno K. 14. Orozco D. 18. Payares L. 15. Roa S.	1. Armesto K. (G) 19. Garcia M. 23. Gonzalez S. 33. Lasso J. 70. Meneses Y. 2. Munoz J. 8. Nieva J. 21. Ospina N. 5. Restrepo E. 26. Rodriguez L. 10. Uruena B.
Substitutes
12. Amaya Garcia J. A. (G) 10. Andrade J. 21. Barragan J. 31. Guzman Pinzon J. D. 30. Rivas I. 6. Salas Barbosa Y. 26. Silva M.	17. Angulo J. 22. Cadavid A. (G) 28. Gomes Camilo J. E. 27. Mosquera D. 34. Murillo V. 6. Palacios Mosquera D. 9. Reina H.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Patriotas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Llaneros SA is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Patriotas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Patriotas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Patriotas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Patriotas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patriotas FC
Colombian Primera B
10.06.23	Patriotas - Valledupar	2:0 ✺
06.06.23	Internacional de Palmira - Patriotas	0:0 ✺
01.06.23	Patriotas - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:2 ✺
28.05.23	Cúcuta Deportivo - Patriotas	1:1 ✺
25.05.23	Patriotas - Internacional de Palmira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTTTT
- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Primera B
11.06.23	Llaneros SA - Deportes Quindío	2:0 ✺
04.06.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Llaneros SA	0:1 ✺
30.05.23	Llaneros SA - Real Cartagena	1:0 ✺
27.05.23	Real Cartagena - Llaneros SA	2:1 ✺
24.05.23	Llaneros SA - Fortaleza CEIF	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
04.02.23	Patriotas - Llaneros SA	1:0

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