Match Info

Date: 15 March 2020, Sunday


	Patrocinense		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	1.95
	3.4	3.1	2.05
	3.45	3.05	2
	3.38	3.07	1.97
	3.53	3.37	2.04
	3.5	3.25	2
	3.5	3.28	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.99)	3.2 ↓ (3.24)	2.01 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patrocinense
26.2%

Draw
28.5%

América Mineiro
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

27.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

20.5%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patrocinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patrocinense than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Patrocinense - América Mineiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Patrocinense
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
07.03.20	Tupynambás - Patrocinense	0:4 ✺
01.03.20	Caldense - Patrocinense	2:2 ✺
16.02.20	Patrocinense - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
08.02.20	Tombense - Patrocinense	2:0 ✺
02.02.20	Patrocinense - Coimbra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTTLW
- América Mineiro
Copa do Brasil
11.03.20	Ferroviária - América Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
08.03.20	América Mineiro - Boa Esporte	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.03.20	Operário Ferroviario - América Mineiro	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
29.02.20	América Mineiro - Tombense	2:1 ✺
17.02.20	Coimbra - América Mineiro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
03.02.19	Patrocinense - América Mineiro	0:0
17.01.18	América Mineiro - Patrocinense	2:1

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