Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO MINEIRO - ROUND 8

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Raimundo Sampaio (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Misson Junior M. F. (Bra)


	América Mineiro		Tombense

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	3.8
	1.9	3.1	3.75
	1.76	3.07	4.3
	1.85	3.1	4
	1.76	3.45	4.6	Watch
	1.8	3.4	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.75)	3.23 ↓ (3.35)	4.05 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
49.6%

Draw
28.1%

Tombense
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

27.2%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

29.3%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

América Mineiro - Tombense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches América MG won 2.

Recent matches América MG is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tombense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

América MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently América MG have a series of guest games.

In this match América MG is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches América MG won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams América MG won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Copa do Brasil
28.02.23	Tocantinópolis - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
25.02.23	Atlético Mineiro - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
17.02.23	Ipatinga - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	América Mineiro - Democrata GV	2:1 ✺
07.02.23	Athletic Club - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTTWT
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
27.02.23	Tombense - Villa Nova AC	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.02.23	Caucaia - Tombense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
18.02.23	Tombense - Democrata SL	2:2 ✺
12.02.23	Pouso Alegre - Tombense	1:1 ✺
08.02.23	Patrocinense - Tombense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
26.03.22	América Mineiro - Tombense	1:1
23.03.22	Tombense - América Mineiro	3:1
19.03.22	América Mineiro - Tombense	1:0
11.04.21	Tombense - América Mineiro	2:1
29.02.20	América Mineiro - Tombense	2:1
30.01.19	Tombense - América Mineiro	1:2
23.02.18	Tombense - América Mineiro	0:0

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