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Current Win Probability
Patronato Parana 39.9%
Draw 31%
Platense 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
30.5%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.3%
31%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
35.3%
52.9%
11.8%
Patronato Parana - Platense Predictions
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 12 - 35.3%). Platense will win (votes: 4 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 52.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 36.1% – 69.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 9).
Patronato has the most likely position - 13 (6.8%), has project points - 36, has currently - 24, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Platense has the most likely position - 12 (7.56%), has project points - 38, has currently - 26, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality34, very small importance2, small match rating18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Patronato will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Patronato: Alvarez F.
(Injury)
Caceres T.
(Injury)
Kruspzky L.
(Injury)
Nievas B.
(Injury)
Ojeda S.
(Injury)
Vazquez F.
(Injury)
There will not play in Platense: Bergessio G.
(Injury)
Last 2 head-to-head matches Patronato won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.