Match Info

Copa Argentina - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (Gobernador Julio A. Costa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Venezuela	Inter


	Platense		Estudiantes La Plata

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.50	2.65	2.15
	3.85	2.63	2.35	Watch
	3.92	2.78	2.28
	3.71	2.68	2.44	Watch
	3.75	2.70	2.20
	3.68	2.82	2.26	Watch
	3.65	2.80	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (3.93)	2.72 ↓ (3.08)	2.28 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platense
25%

Draw
34.2%

Estudiantes La Plata
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

30.7%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

30.8%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Platense - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Cozzani J. (G) 4. Lagos A. 34. Mendia M. 31. Victor Cuesta 3. Silva T. 26. Ferreira P. 24. Barrios M. 7. Mainero G. (C) 18. Merlini B. 43. Retamar K. 79. Sepulveda B.	16. Muslera F. (G) 40. Mancuso E. 4. Nunez S. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 24. Palacios T. 7. Sosa J. (C) 21. Piovi L. 29. Perez Fabricio 31. Rodriguez B. 17. Burgos J. 9. Carrillo G.
Substitutes
15. Amarfil M. 33. Gauto J. 5. Gomez I. 38. Ingenthron C. 99. Lencina G. 8. Lopez F. 11. Lopez N. 21. Lotti A. 6. Raggio E. 22. Sumavil N. (G) 16. Togni G. 10. Zapiola F.	28. Aguirre B. 27. Alario L. 13. Benedetti G. 18. Cetre E. 26. Funes Mori R. 19. Gaich A. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 52. Kociubinski B. 20. Meza E. 34. Monsalve M. 36. Pereyra J. 41. Sagues B.
Coaches
Palermo M.	Medina A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Perez Fabricio 🟨,
26', Ferreira P. 🟨,
33', Sepulveda B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Perez Fabricio ↓, Kociubinski B. ↑,
57', Lagos A. 🟨,
59', Sosa J. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
62', Ferreira P. ↓, Amarfil M. ↑,
62', Piovi L. 🟨,
65', Mainero G. 🟨,
68', Merlini B. 🟨,
72', Retamar K. ↓, Gauto J. ↑,
72', Merlini B. ↓, Zapiola F. ↑,
75', Burgos J. ↓, Meza E. ↑,
75', Rodriguez B. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
81', Barrios M. ↓, Gomez I. ↑,
82', Sepulveda B. ↓, Lencina G. ↑,
83', 1 - 0, Lencina G. ⚽, Silva T. (A),
86', Mancuso E. ↓, Alario L. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 1.

Platense is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Estudiantes have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Platense could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Estudiantes is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Platense has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:14 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Platense against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 3:5 goals (averaging 0.8:1.3 per game).

Outrights of Copa Argentina for now

Platense: 21.8%

Last Results with these Odds

Platense - the odds 3.93 are the expected chance of winning is 24.06%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Platense
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.09.26	Platense - Newells Old Boys	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.09.26	Platense - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.09.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Platense	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.09.26	Fluminense - Platense	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.09.26	Platense - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLT
- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian International Super Cup
26.09.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Rosario Central	1:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.09.26	Lanús - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.09.26	Corinthians - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.09.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Platense	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.09.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.09.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Platense	2:1
02.05.26	Platense - Estudiantes La Plata	0:2
Argentinian Trofeo de Campeones
20.12.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Platense	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.09.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Platense	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
06.03.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Platense	1:2
18.10.23	Platense - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.04.23	Platense - Estudiantes La Plata	1:2

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