The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Patronato Parana 39.3%
Draw 29.6%
San Lorenzo 31.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.4%
30.4%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
30.7%
25.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patronato Parana's form might have worsened.
San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Lorenzo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Lorenzo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
24%
52%
24%
Patronato Parana - San Lorenzo Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 6 - 24%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 6 - 24%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 52%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.4% – 71.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 9 and 12).
Patronato has the most likely position - 23 (5.21%), has project points - 35, has currently - 18, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
San Lorenzo has the most likely position - 14 (5.16%), has project points - 37, has currently - 17, has a very small chance of win league (1%).
This event has quality34, very small importance5, small match rating20. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Patronato won 1.
Patronato is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches San Lorenzo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
San Lorenzo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Patronato: Quintana C.
(Injury)
Vazquez F.
(Injury)
There will not play in San Lorenzo: Gordillo Y.
(Injury)
James J.
(Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Patronato won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Patronato won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.
Watch
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