Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Pedro Bidegain (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	TyC Sports Internacional


	San Lorenzo		Platense

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.55	3.5	Watch
	2.55	2.55	3.4
	2.52	2.52	3.7	Watch
	2.66	2.49	3.91
	2.6	2.48	3.82	Watch
	2.6	2.5	3.6
	2.52	2.56	3.7	Watch
	2.52	2.52	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.63)	2.52 ↓ (2.92)	3.67 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
36.7%

Draw
37.5%

Platense
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

32.3%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

33.5%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Platense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	54.5%	0%

San Lorenzo - Platense Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Platense (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 25%). Platense (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gill O. (G) 32. Herrera E. 4. Romana J. 23. Hernandez G. 37. Baez E. 38. Perruzzi I. 24. Tripichio N. 7. Cerutti E. 10. Muniain I. 21. Braida M. 9. Vombergar A.	31. Cozzani J. (G) 25. Saborido J. 13. Vazquez I. 6. Salomon O. 3. Silva T. 5. Herrera R. 14. Picco L. 7. Mainero G. 10. Taborda V. 77. Martinez R. 21. Lotti A.
Substitutes
15. Cecchini E. 28. Cuello A. 25. Devecchi J. (G) 16. Dominguez N. 36. Herrera D. 19. Insaurralde M. 5. Irala E. 50. Ladstatter A. 34. Lopez F. 53. Pedroza R. 11. Reali M. 22. Salinardi Branco	32. Baldassarra F. 24. Barros Schelotto B. 4. Elizalde E. 8. Juarez F. 27. Losas F. (G) 29. Minerva F. 36. Orsini N. 2. Pignani J. 23. Roldan E. 26. Schor I. 19. Toloza S. 11. Zapiola F.
Coaches
Russo M.	Gomez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Cerutti E. ↓, Reali M. ↑,
34', Taborda V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Salomon O. 🟨,
59', Picco L. 🟨,
70', Lotti A. ↓, Zapiola F. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Zapiola F. ⚽,
79', Braida M. 🟨,
80', Taborda V. ↓, Elizalde E. ↑,
80', Tripichio N. ↓, Cuello A. ↑,
82', Romana J. 🟨,
83', Muniain I. 🟨,
85', Mainero G. ↓, Schor I. ↑,
85', Martinez R. ↓, Orsini N. ↑,
90', Zapiola F. 🟨,
90+4', Schor I. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 3.

San Lorenzo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Platense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Platense has had a series of away games.

San Lorenzo could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in San Lorenzo: Ladstatter A. (Illness) Rodriguez Pagano T. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Platense: Bay J. (Knee Injury) Cervera T. (Muscle Injury) Goni G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lozano R. (Inactive) Marquez De Meneses R. L. (Inactive) Rodriguez M. (Groin Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.05.25	Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo	1:2 penalties ✺
10.05.25	San Lorenzo - Tigre	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	San Lorenzo - Rosario Central	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Deportivo Riestra - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWTLT
- CA Platense
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.05.25	River Plate - Platense	1:2 penalties ✺
10.05.25	Racing - Platense	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Platense	1:0 ✺
29.04.25	Platense - Talleres de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Platense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.02.25	San Lorenzo - Platense	2:1
01.09.24	Platense - San Lorenzo	1:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.03.24	Platense - San Lorenzo	0:0
26.10.23	San Lorenzo - Platense	1:1
Copa Argentina
26.07.23	San Lorenzo - Platense	1:0 penalties
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.04.23	San Lorenzo - Platense	1:0
16.08.22	San Lorenzo - Platense	2:0

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