Match Info

Date: 20 September 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella (Paraná)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)


	Patronato Parana		Rosario Central

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.3	3	3.2
	2.4	3	3.05
	2.35	3	3.1
	2.31	3.19	3.49
	2.15	3.1	3.5
	2.25	3.22	3.28	Watch
	2.33	2.95	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.17)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	3.25 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patronato Parana
40.7%

Draw
30.5%

Rosario Central
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

30.2%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

30%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.1%	32.3%	9.7%

Patronato Parana - Rosario Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 18 - 58.1%). Rosario will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 32.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Patronato: 40.7% – 75.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Patronato has the most likely position - 15 (6.34%), has project points - 37, has currently - 27, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Patronato won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Patronato will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Patronato: Alvarez F. (Injury) Ojeda S. (Injury) Vazquez F. (Injury)

There will not play in Rosario: Lo Celso F. (Injury) Martinez L. (Injury) Montoya W. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Patronato won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Patronato won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.09.22	Racing - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
09.09.22	Patronato Parana - Platense	1:0 ✺
04.09.22	Patronato Parana - Unión Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
28.08.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
23.08.22	Patronato Parana - Argentinos Juniors	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWTLT
- Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.09.22	Rosario Central - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
08.09.22	Argentinos Juniors - Rosario Central	2:1 ✺
03.09.22	Rosario Central - Talleres de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	San Lorenzo - Rosario Central	1:1 ✺
22.08.22	Rosario Central - Banfield	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.10.21	Rosario Central - Patronato Parana	3:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.12.20	Rosario Central - Patronato Parana	4:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.08.19	Rosario Central - Patronato Parana	1:1
28.10.18	Patronato Parana - Rosario Central	2:1
01.04.18	Patronato Parana - Rosario Central	3:0
17.09.16	Rosario Central - Patronato Parana	2:0
13.03.16	Patronato Parana - Rosario Central	1:0

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