Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Diego Armando Maradona (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Tello F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Mexico	Fanatiz
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Argentinos Juniors		Rosario Central

	1	X	2
	1.91	3	4.75	Watch
	2.02	3.05	4.2
	2.03	3.06	4.77
	2.01	2.99	4.56	Watch
	2	2.9	4
	2.02	3.05	4.59	Watch
	1.89	3.05	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.89)	3.01 ↓ (3.05)	4.4 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentinos Juniors
47.4%

Draw
31.2%

Rosario Central
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

29.5%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

31.4%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentinos Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Rosario Central aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Argentinos Juniors - Rosario Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Rosario will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Argentinos Juniors: 28.1% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cortes B. (G) 22. Lozano L. 16. Alvarez F. 6. Riquelme R. D. 20. Prieto S. 10. Lescano A. (C) 24. Fattori F. 11. Oroz N. 23. Lopez H. 27. Molina T. 47. Porcel D.	1. Broun J. (C) 46. Ovando I. 47. Raffin L. 33. Soto A. 16. Gimenez E. 31. Navarro F. 20. Pizarro V. 3. Sandez A. 18. Fernandez J. 9. Veliz A. 8. Campaz J.
Substitutes
26. Bravo C. 14. Coronel K. 18. Fernandez L. 21. Florentin G. 7. Giaccone L. 8. Gomez L. 48. Jainikoski F. 34. Kida R. 30. Morales I. 2. Ramirez T. 12. Siri Payer G. (G) 29. Viveros E.	13. Avila G. 26. Cantizano G. 27. Duarte G. 28. Fernandez P. 23. Ledesma C. (G) 15. Mallo Blanco F. 39. Oviedo F. 2. Quintana C. 35. Ramos L. 41. Rios L. 10. Segovia S. 42. Veron E.
Coaches
Diez N.	Almiron J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Molina T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Riquelme R. D. 🟨,
53', Sandez A. 🟨,
59', Porcel D. ↓, Jainikoski F. ↑,
65', Campaz J. ↓, Duarte G. ↑,
73', Raffin L. ↓, Avila G. ↑,
74', Oroz N. ↓, Florentin G. ↑,
74', Lescano A. ↓, Morales I. ↑,
75', Molina T. ↓, Viveros E. ↑,
78', Sandez A. ↓, Segovia S. ↑,
78', Fernandez J. ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,
85', Lopez H. ↓, Kida R. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 3.

Argentinos Juniors has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rosario is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Argentinos Juniors is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Gho J. (Knee Injury) Gimenez M. (Knee Injury) Molina T. (Injury) Perez E. (Inactive) Rodriguez D. (Knee Injury) Veron G. (Injury)

There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Komar J. (Heart Problems) Lovera M. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:25. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Argentinos Juniors won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.03.26	Argentinos Juniors - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.02.26	Argentinos Juniors - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:2 penalties ✺
18.02.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Argentinos Juniors	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.02.26	Argentinos Juniors - River Plate	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Racing - Argentinos Juniors	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLWWL
- Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.03.26	Newells Old Boys - Rosario Central	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Rosario Central - Talleres de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Rosario Central - Barracas Central	2:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
11.02.26	Rosario Central - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.05.24	Argentinos Juniors - Rosario Central	3:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
19.03.24	Argentinos Juniors - Rosario Central	3:0
29.10.23	Rosario Central - Argentinos Juniors	3:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.01.23	Rosario Central - Argentinos Juniors	1:0
08.09.22	Argentinos Juniors - Rosario Central	2:1
03.10.21	Rosario Central - Argentinos Juniors	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
15.02.21	Rosario Central - Argentinos Juniors	2:1

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