Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Pedro Bidegain (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	ESPN Premium
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
China	K-Ball
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
Portugal	Sport TV3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	Fanatiz
World	Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional


	San Lorenzo		Rosario Central

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.8	3.6	Watch
	2.3	2.75	3.6
	2.48	2.62	3.55	Watch
	2.5	2.73	3.84
	2.46	2.65	3.76	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.8
	2.43	2.79	3.46	Watch
	2.48	2.62	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.04)	2.72 ↓ (3.13)	3.65 ↓ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
39.3%

Draw
34.7%

Rosario Central
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

30.2%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

29.3%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.

Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	35.7%	28.6%

San Lorenzo - Rosario Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Rosario will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Lorenzo: 10.6% – 60.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Rosario (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - San Lorenzo (2.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - San Lorenzo (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 4 - 80%). Rosario (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gill O. (G) 32. Herrera E. 4. Romana J. 23. Hernandez G. 37. Baez E. 5. Irala E. 24. Tripichio N. 7. Cerutti E. 10. Muniain I. 21. Braida M. 9. Vombergar A.	1. Broun J. (G) 32. Coronel E. 15. Mallo Blanco F. 2. Quintana C. 3. Sandez A. 16. Gimenez E. 31. Navarro F. 21. Lopez S. 10. Malcorra I. 7. Lovera M. 9. Copetti E.
Substitutes
15. Cecchini E. 28. Cuello A. 25. Devecchi J. (G) 36. Herrera D. 19. Insaurralde M. 50. Ladstatter A. 34. Lopez F. 11. Reali M. 33. Rodriguez Pagano T. 22. Salinardi Branco 26. Vega J. 51. Zelaya M. A.	19. Bravo A. 27. Duarte G. 33. Elordi J. M. 11. Ferreira S. 22. Giaccone L. 8. Gomez J. 6. Komar J. 30. O'Connor T. 45. Ortiz K. 17. Segovia S. 23. Solari A. 20. Werner A. (G)
Coaches
Russo M.	Holan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Lopez S. 🟨,
42', Navarro F. 🟨,
43', Malcorra I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lovera M. ↓, Duarte G. ↑,
61', Broun J. 🟨,
65', Irala E. 🟨,
66', Gimenez E. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
66', Lopez S. ↓, Giaccone L. ↑,
70', Braida M. 🟨,
72', Braida M. ↓, Reali M. ↑,
73', Romana J. 🟨,
74', Cerutti E. 🟨,
76', Reali M. 🟨,
83', Irala E. ↓, Cecchini E. ↑,
83', Vombergar A. ↓, Cuello A. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 1, Copetti E. ⚽, Giaccone L. (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

San Lorenzo is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Rosario is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 2.

Now both teams are in good shape.

San Lorenzo will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in San Lorenzo: Altamirano F. (Elbow Injury) Dominguez N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J. (Inactive) Ibarra F. (Yellow Cards) Lovera M. (Injury) Modica A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Rosario: Campaz J. (Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:14 (average 1.3:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.7:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.04.25	Deportivo Riestra - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	San Lorenzo - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
04.04.25	San Martín de San Juan - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	San Lorenzo - Lanús	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
23.03.25	San Lorenzo - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWTW
- Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.04.25	Rosario Central - Instituto Córdoba	3:0 ✺
15.04.25	Platense - Rosario Central	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
09.04.25	Rosario Central - Los Andes	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.04.25	Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	River Plate - Rosario Central	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.11.24	Rosario Central - San Lorenzo	0:1
01.07.23	San Lorenzo - Rosario Central	1:0
27.08.22	San Lorenzo - Rosario Central	1:1
20.09.21	Rosario Central - San Lorenzo	1:0
Copa Sudamericana
12.05.21	San Lorenzo - Rosario Central	1:2
28.04.21	Rosario Central - San Lorenzo	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.04.21	San Lorenzo - Rosario Central	2:0

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