Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 17

Date: 5 December 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Pau		Valenciennes

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	4	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.9
	1.9	3.4	4	Watch
	1.94	3.41	4.54
	1.9	3.43	4.61
	1.85	3.4	3.9
	1.84	3.52	4.3	Watch
	1.9	3.45	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.06)	3.41 ↑ (3.24)	4.15 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pau
49.7%

Draw
27.6%

Valenciennes
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

28.5%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

27.6%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.9%	31.6%	10.5%

Pau - Valenciennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Valenciennes will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kamara B. (G) 17. Batisse A. (C) 22. Ahoussou A. 25. Ruiz J. 2. Koudou T. 21. Beusnard S. 6. D'Almeida S. 18. Ngom O. 70. Boli C. 30. Njoh Y. 7. Sylla M.	16. Louchet J. (G) 35. Lienard T. 39. Buatu J. (C) 5. Poha J. 15. Woudenberg L. 3. Basse S. 34. Lilepo M. 23. Kruse D. 8. Banse S. 17. Boutoutaou A. 18. Jung A.
Substitutes
11. Bassouamina M. 33. Colleaux T. 40. Jeannin M. (G) 19. Kante 13. Mouton L. 23. Obiang J. 8. Saivet H.	11. Bonnet U. 30. Diabate L. (G) 47. Diagouraga T. 31. Diallo I. 29. Kalai J. 9. Noubissi M. 10. Venema N.
Coaches
Usai N.	Maciel J.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pau won 2.

Pau is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Valenciennes is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pau could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pau will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Pau won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Pau won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
02.12.23	Pau - Dunkerque	1:1 ✺
28.11.23	Concarneau - Pau	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Saint-Étienne - Pau	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
18.11.23	Chauray - Pau	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
11.11.23	Pau - Angers	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 TWWWT
- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 2
02.12.23	Valenciennes - Annecy	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Quevilly - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
18.11.23	Haguenau - Valenciennes	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
11.11.23	Valenciennes - Dunkerque	0:1 ✺
04.11.23	Angers - Valenciennes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
13.05.23	Valenciennes - Pau	1:1
17.09.22	Pau - Valenciennes	1:0
26.02.22	Valenciennes - Pau	1:0
18.09.21	Pau - Valenciennes	1:1
15.05.21	Pau - Valenciennes	4:3
22.08.20	Valenciennes - Pau	3:0

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