Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 13

Date: 28 November 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Concarneau		Pau

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	3	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3
	2.35	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.42	3.38	3.14
	2.38	3.38	3.14
	2.25	3.3	2.9
	2.27	3.42	3.04	Watch
	2.28	3.3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.54)	3.34 ↑ (3.2)	3.02 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concarneau
40.7%

Draw
28.2%

Pau
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

29.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

29.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	30.8%	23.1%

Concarneau - Pau Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Concarneau will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Pau will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Concarneau: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Esteban Salles 33. Julien Faussurier 4. Guillaume Jannez 12. Julien Celestine 3. Abdelwahed Wahib 17. Maxime Etuin 6. Alexandre Phliponeau 21. Nassim Chadli 20. Baptiste Mouazan 14. Pape Ibnou Ba 9. Noha Ndombasi Nlandu	1. Bingourou Kamara 4. Laglais Xavier Kouassi 24. Kenji Van Boto 25. Jean Ruiz 2. Therence Koudou 6. Sessi D'Almeida 21. Steeve Beusnard 11. Mons Bassouamina 13. Louis Mouton 10. Khalid Boutaib 7. Moussa Sylla
Substitutes
2. Alec Georgen 24. Ambroise Gboho 11. Axel Urie 15. Gabriel Bares 7. Isaac Matondo 28. Issouf Paro 1. Maxime Pattier	17. Antoine Batisse 70. Charles Boli 23. Johann Obiang 28. Lenny Pirringuel 40. Mehdi Jeannin 18. Oumar Ngom 19. Ousmane Kante
Coaches
Le Mignan S.	Usai N.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Concarneau won 1.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Concarneau will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Concarneau won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Concarneau won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Concarneau
French Ligue 2
25.11.23	Amiens - Concarneau	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
17.11.23	Stade Briochin - Concarneau	4:3 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
11.11.23	Laval - Concarneau	0:3 ✺
28.10.23	Concarneau - Ajaccio	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Troyes - Concarneau	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 TLWWT
- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
25.11.23	Saint-Étienne - Pau	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
18.11.23	Chauray - Pau	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
11.11.23	Pau - Angers	4:4 ✺
28.10.23	Pau - Grenoble	3:2 ✺
21.10.23	Ajaccio - Pau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
08.11.19	Concarneau - Pau	0:1
15.02.19	Pau - Concarneau	0:1
07.09.18	Concarneau - Pau	1:1
31.03.18	Pau - Concarneau	4:1
03.11.17	Concarneau - Pau	0:2
19.05.17	Concarneau - Pau	0:3
05.08.16	Pau - Concarneau	0:0

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