Match Info
Serie D - Group B - Round 26Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Pavia |
|
Varesina |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.3 |
3.05 |
2.82 |
|
 |
2.41 |
3.18 |
2.75 |
 Watch |
 |
2.42 |
3.06 |
2.68 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(2.15) |
3.1 ↑
(3.08) |
2.75 ↓
(3.2) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Pavia
38% | Draw
29.2% | Varesina
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Varesina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pavia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varesina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Pavia - Varesina Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Varesina (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Cominetti M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Pavia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Pavia will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pavia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).Including home match between the teams, Pavia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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