The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pavia 45%
Draw 28.3%
Varesina 26.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.1%
27.8%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
23.1%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Varesina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Pavia - Varesina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 1 - 2, ⚽,
83', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 10th and 12th).
Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.
Varesina could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Pavia has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Pavia holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Pavia has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:5 (averaging 1.8:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pavia against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).
Watch
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