Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 12

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Pavia		Vogherese

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.25	3.35
	2.49	3.37	2.54	Watch
	2.07	3.2	3.27
	2.5	3.33	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.54)	3.29 ↑ (3.28)	2.92 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavia
40.6%

Draw
27.9%

Vogherese
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

27.5%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

26.8%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pavia's performance.

Vogherese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vogherese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pavia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vogherese than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vogherese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pavia - Vogherese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
09.11.25	Castellanzese - Pavia	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Pavia - Villa Valle	4:0 ✺
26.10.25	Varesina - Pavia	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.10.25	Pavia - Piacenza	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
12.10.25	Brusaporto - Pavia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWTLL
- AVC Vogherese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group B
09.11.25	Vogherese - Leon	1:3 ✺
02.11.25	Scanzorosciate - Vogherese	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Vogherese - Castellanzese	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Vogherese - Villa Valle	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Varesina - Vogherese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTLWT

Pavia - Vogherese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide