Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 36

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Belem)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	Paysandu		Coritiba

	1	X	2
	7	4.2	1.45	Watch
	7.1	4.05	1.45
	7.74	4.17	1.48
	5.91	3.36	1.62	Watch
	6.65	4.15	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.88 ↑ (5.91)	3.99 ↑ (3.36)	1.5 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
13.7%

Draw
23.6%

Coritiba
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

27.5%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

26.7%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coritiba's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Paysandu - Coritiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Coritiba will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Matheus Nogueira (C) 34. Lucca Carvalho 3. Quintana Y. 5. Novillo J. 16. Reverson 36. Gustavo Nicola 39. Goncalves P. 8. Andre Lima 11. Marlon Douglas 30. Marcelinho 98. Denilson	1. Pedro Morisco (G) 20. Alex Silva 3. Maicon 55. Jacy 26. Bruno Melo 70. Wallisson 19. Gomez S. (C) 10. Josue 77. Iury Castilho 25. Clayson 49. Dellatorre
Substitutes
29. Anderson Leite 38. Carlos Eduardo 18. Edinho 12. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 31. Iago Hass (G) 22. Joao Marcos 94. Kaua Hinkel 15. larley 20. Matheus Capixaba 99. Vinicius Faria 26. Wendel	27. de Pena C. 37. Everaldo 8. Filipe Machado 87. Gabriel Leite (G) 5. Geovane 9. Gustavo Coutinho 16. Joao Almeida 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 4. Rodrigo Moledo 23. Tiago Coser 36. Vini Paulista 73. Zeca
Coaches
Alvares I.	Mozart

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Dellatorre ⚽,
25', Matheus Nogueira ↓, Gabriel Mesquita ↑,
40', 0 - 2, Iury Castilho ⚽,
45+3', Goncalves P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Clayson ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
60', Denilson ↓, Wendel ↑,
60', Lucca Carvalho ↓, Matheus Capixaba ↑,
63', Josue 🟨,
65', 1 - 2, Quintana Y. ⚽, Marcelinho (A),
69', Gustavo Nicola ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
71', Josue ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
71', Dellatorre ↓, Everaldo ↑,
77', Marlon Douglas 🟨,
81', Iury Castilho ↓, Gustavo Coutinho ↑,
82', Wallisson ↓, Filipe Machado ↑,
87', Marcelinho ↓, Kaua Hinkel ↑,
87', Andre Lima ↓, Vinicius Faria ↑,
88', Gustavo Coutinho 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).

Paysandu is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 2.

Paysandu is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Coritiba has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Coritiba is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Paysandu: Bryan Borges (Injury) Denner (Injury) Diogo Oliveira (Injury) Dudu Vieira (Inactive) Edilson (Yellow Cards) Edinho (Inactive) Matheus Vargas (Injury) Novillo J. (Inactive) Petterson Novaes (Inactive) Ronaldo Henrique (Inactive) Rossi (Inactive) Thiago Heleno (Inactive)

There will not play in Coritiba: Lucas Ronier (Yellow Cards) Nicolas Careca (Injury)

There are questionable in Paysandu: Leandro Vilela (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie B
31.10.25	Atlético Goianiense - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Paysandu - Avaí	1:2 ✺
20.10.25	Ferroviária - Paysandu	2:2 ✺
14.10.25	Paysandu - Remo	2:3 ✺
07.10.25	Botafogo SP - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTLL
- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B
31.10.25	Coritiba - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Volta Redonda - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Cuiabá - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
09.10.25	Coritiba - Atlético Goianiense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
19.07.25	Coritiba - Paysandu	2:5
23.10.24	Paysandu - Coritiba	2:1
07.07.24	Coritiba - Paysandu	1:1
27.10.18	Paysandu - Coritiba	1:1
04.07.18	Coritiba - Paysandu	2:0
Copa do Brasil
13.08.14	Paysandu - Coritiba	2:1
31.07.14	Coritiba - Paysandu	2:0

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