Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 31

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	Botafogo SP		Paysandu

	1	X	2
	3	2.65	2.7	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.4
	2.88	2.78	2.68
	3.01	2.86	2.81
	2.36	2.93	3.28	Watch
	2.74	2.94	2.67	Watch
	2.15	3	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.22)	2.87 ↓ (3.2)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
36%

Draw
32.8%

Paysandu
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.8%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

27.7%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo SP's form might have worsened.

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo SP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	83.3%	8.3%

Botafogo SP - Paysandu Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Paysandu will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 62.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Paysandu (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Botafogo SP (3.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 1 - 20%). Paysandu (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Victor Souza (G) 2. Jeferson 3. Ericson 4. Vilar 6. Risso G. 8. Dramisino A. 5. Gabriel Bispo 7. Gabriel Barros 10. Maciel L. (C) 11. Jefferson Nem 9. Guilherme Queiroz	13. Matheus Nogueira (C) 2. Edilson 6. Thalisson 35. Mauricio Antonio 21. Bryan Borges 8. Andre Lima 25. Ronaldo Henrique 11. Marlon Douglas 10. Mauricio Garcez 20. Denner 9. Diogo Oliveira
Substitutes
14. Alisson Cassiano 19. Carrillo R. 16. Jean Victor 12. Joao Carlos (G) 18. Jonathan Cafu 20. Marquinho 15. Matheus Barbosa 21. Matheus Regis 23. Rafael Milhorim 17. Robinho 13. Wallison 22. Wesley Dias	38. Carlos Eduardo 12. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 39. Goncalves P. 36. Gustavo Nicola 30. Marcelinho 5. Novillo J. 19. Petterson Novaes 43. Ramon Vinicius 77. Rossi 99. Vinicius Faria
Coaches
Angeli R.	Marcio Fernandes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Mauricio Garcez ↓, Vinicius Faria ↑,
45+7', Edilson 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Maciel L. 🟨,
60', Denner ↓, Ramon Vinicius ↑,
61', Diogo Oliveira ↓, Rossi ↑,
66', Maciel L. ↓, Marquinho ↑,
72', Dramisino A. ↓, Matheus Barbosa ↑,
72', Gabriel Barros ↓, Robinho ↑,
81', Marlon Douglas ↓, Petterson Novaes ↑,
81', Andre Lima ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
84', Guilherme Queiroz ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,
84', Jeferson ↓, Wallison ↑,
89', 1 - 0, Carrillo R. ⚽, Jefferson Nem (A),
90+6', Jefferson Nem 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Botafogo SP has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Paysandu has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Botafogo SP might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Botafogo SP: Carlao (Inactive) Carrillo R. (Inactive) Edson (Red Card) Tortello (Inactive)

There will not play in Paysandu: Leandro Vilela (Injury) Matheus Vargas (Injury) Reverson (Yellow Cards) Thiago Heleno (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Gustavo Bochecha (Inactive)

There are questionable in Paysandu: Anderson Leite (Inactive) Andre Lima (Injury) Diogo Oliveira (Injury) Dudu Vieira (Inactive) Edinho (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
03.10.25	Coritiba - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Botafogo SP - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	CRB Maceio - Botafogo SP	3:2 ✺
18.09.25	Botafogo SP - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Athletic Club - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie B
02.10.25	Paysandu - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Criciúma - Paysandu	2:4 ✺
23.09.25	Paysandu - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Goiás - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Paysandu - América Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
13.06.25	Paysandu - Botafogo SP	1:0
18.08.24	Botafogo SP - Paysandu	1:1
27.04.24	Paysandu - Botafogo SP	1:1
Brazilian Serie C
08.05.22	Paysandu - Botafogo SP	4:1

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