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Current Win Probability
Volta Redonda 29.3%
Draw 30.4%
Coritiba 40.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.6%
30.4%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.8%
30.6%
38.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
66.7%
33.3%
Volta Redonda - Coritiba Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.
33. Jefferson Paulino (G) 2. Wellington Silva 19. Igor Morais 15. Lucas Adell 6. Sanchez 8. Thallyson 5. Bruno Barra 20. Marquinhos 16. Rai 17. Vitinho Lopes 27. Ygor Catatau
1. Pedro Morisco (G) 20. Alex Silva 3. Maicon 55. Jacy 73. Zeca 70. Wallisson 19. Gomez S. (C) 36. Vini Paulista 10. Josue 11. Lucas Ronier 49. Dellatorre
Substitutes
26. Caio Roque 14. Chay 18. Dener 3. Gabriel Pinheiro 25. Igor Maduro 9. Italo 12. Jean Drosny (G) 13. Jhonny 7. Joao Pedro 99. Kayke 11. MV 10. PK
27. de Pena C. 37. Everaldo 22. Felipe Guimaraes 8. Filipe Machado 87. Gabriel Leite (G) 5. Geovane 9. Gustavo Coutinho 77. Iury Castilho 16. Joao Almeida 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 4. Rodrigo Moledo 97. Ruan Assis
Coaches
Rogerio Correa
Mozart
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Thallyson 🟨,
14', Dellatorre 🟨,
18', Wallisson 🟨,
24', Lucas Adell 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Wallisson ⚽, Josue (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vitinho Lopes ↓, MV ↑,
46', Thallyson ↓, Igor Maduro ↑,
46', Sanchez ↓, Caio Roque ↑,
46', Wallisson ↓, Filipe Machado ↑,
53', Ygor Catatau ↓, Italo ↑,
60', Maicon 🟨,
70', Bruno Barra ↓, Chay ↑,
72', Vini Paulista ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
72', Dellatorre ↓, Gustavo Coutinho ↑,
81', Gomez S. 🟨,
82', Josue ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
82', Gomez S. ↓, Geovane ↑,
83', Igor Maduro 🟨,
85', Chay 🟨,
87', Maicon 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
Recent form of Volta Redonda has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Coritiba is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Volta Redonda: Andre Luiz
(Yellow Cards)
Du Fernandes
(Knee Injury)
Fabricio
(Inactive)
Sanchez
(Inactive)
There will not play in Coritiba: Bruno Melo
(Red Card)
Clayson
(Yellow Cards)
Rodrigo Rodrigues
(Injury)
Tiago Coser
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Volta Redonda: Chay
(Inactive)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Volta Redonda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.