Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 20

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	19:00	Disney+
Brazil	19:00	Disney+
Peru	17:00	Disney+
Uruguay	19:00	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	18:00	Disney+


	Paysandú		Tacuarembó

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.1	2.9
	2.29	3.1	3.23
	2.28	3.19	3.15	Watch
	2.2	3.05	3.15
	2.3	3.38	2.94
	2.19	3.15	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.58)	3.16 ↑ (3.04)	3.05 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandú
40.9%

Draw
29%

Tacuarembó
30.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

30.6%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

30.3%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Tacuarembó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandú than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Paysandú - Tacuarembó Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Paysandú will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Gonzalez N. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Mendez A. ⚽,
39', Ibanez F. 🟥,
43', 1 - 2, Da SIlva L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 2 - 2, Lopez F. ⚽,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 10th and 12th).

In recent outings, Paysandú has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Tacuarembó is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Paysandú has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Paysandu FC	24	10	4	10	32:31	1	34
13	Tacuarembo	24	6	7	11	18:27	-9	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandú FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.09.26	Plaza Colonia - Paysandú	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Paysandú - La Luz	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Cerrito - Paysandú	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Paysandú - Atenas de San Carlos	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Paysandú - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TLWWT
- Tacuarembó FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.09.26	Tacuarembó - Huracán Paso de la Arena	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Tacuarembó	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Tacuarembó - Oriental de La Paz	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Colón Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Tacuarembó - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.06.26	Tacuarembó - Paysandú	1:0

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