Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 16

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Paysandú		Atenas de San Carlos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.40	2.95	2.65
	2.45	2.95	2.65
	2.52	3.11	2.63
	2.59	3.22	2.68	Watch
	2.5	3.05	2.55
	2.52	3	2.61
	2.45	3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.8)	3.04 ↑ (2.93)	2.63 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Paysandú
36.2%

Draw
29.6%

Atenas de San Carlos
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

31%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

31.3%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Atenas de San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandú than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Paysandú - Atenas de San Carlos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 🟥,
72', 2 - 0, ⚽,
76', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura: )).

In recent matches, Paysandú has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atenas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atenas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paysandú won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atenas	21	12	4	5	30:18	12	40
11	Paysandu FC	21	7	4	10	26:28	-2	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandú FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
22.08.26	Paysandú - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Paysandú	3:2 ✺
08.08.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Paysandú	1:0 ✺
03.08.26	Paysandú - Oriental de La Paz	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Colón Montevideo - Paysandú	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLLWW
- Atenas de San Carlos
Uruguay Copa
26.08.26	Danubio - Atenas de San Carlos	3:2 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
23.08.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Huracán Paso de la Arena	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Oriental de La Paz - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1 ✺
03.08.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Colón Montevideo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
23.05.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Paysandú	3:2

Upcoming Matches