Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 19

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Tacuarembó		Huracán Paso de la Arena

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.00	2.80
	2.32	2.92	2.9
	2.39	3.08	2.98
	2.41	3.09	3.01	Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.9
	2.32	2.94	2.96
	2.31	2.95	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.41)	2.98 ↓ (3.08)	2.92 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tacuarembó
38.7%

Draw
30.3%

Huracán Paso de la Arena
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

30.3%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

30.2%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Tacuarembó have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Huracán Paso de la Arena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Paso de la Arena than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Tacuarembó - Huracán Paso de la Arena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, ⚽,
79', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 12th and 11th).

Recent results have been tough for Tacuarembó (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Huracán shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Huracán could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Tacuarembó has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tacuarembó against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Huracan FC	21	7	5	9	22:28	-6	26
13	Tacuarembo	21	6	6	9	16:23	-7	24

Last Results with these Odds

Tacuarembó - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.67%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuarembó FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.09.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Tacuarembó	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Tacuarembó - Oriental de La Paz	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Colón Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Tacuarembó - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Rentistas - Tacuarembó	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLLLW
- Huracán Paso de la Arena
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.09.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Plaza Colonia	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	La Luz - Huracán Paso de la Arena	1:3 ✺
29.08.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Cerrito	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Huracán Paso de la Arena	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Paysandú	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
13.06.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Tacuarembó	2:1
12.04.26	Tacuarembó - Huracán Paso de la Arena	0:2

Upcoming Matches