Match Info
Segunda Division - Round 18Date: 12 September 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
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Uruguay Montevideo |
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Tacuarembó |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.55 |
2.85 |
2.65 |
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 |
2.62 |
2.75 |
2.65 |
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 |
2.69 |
3.08 |
2.79 |
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 |
2.7 |
2.97 |
2.76 |
 Watch |
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2.65 |
2.85 |
2.75 |
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 |
2.62 |
3.14 |
2.72 |
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 |
2.60 |
2.80 |
2.65 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↑
(2.62) |
2.92 ↓
(3.19) |
2.71 ↑
(2.62) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Uruguay Montevideo
34.8% | Draw
31.4% | Tacuarembó
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Uruguay Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Tacuarembó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (+0.5%)Uruguay Montevideo - Tacuarembó Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 56', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 58', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 76', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uruguay Montevideo won 0.Neither of the teams is performing well right now. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Uruguay Montevideo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.9:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Uruguay Montevideo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
Standings
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 13 | Tacuarembo | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 16:23 | -7 | 24 |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 19:31 | -12 | 17 |
Last Results with these Odds
Tacuarembó - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.44%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Uruguayan Segunda Division | | | 07.06.26 | Tacuarembó - Uruguay Montevideo | 1:0 | | 26.04.26 | Uruguay Montevideo - Tacuarembó | 1:1 | | 25.10.25 | Uruguay Montevideo - Tacuarembó | 0:0 | | 03.08.25 | Tacuarembó - Uruguay Montevideo | 2:0 | | 25.09.24 | Tacuarembó - Uruguay Montevideo | 0:0 | | 10.06.24 | Uruguay Montevideo - Tacuarembó | 1:0 | | 07.04.24 | Tacuarembó - Uruguay Montevideo | 1:3 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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