The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paços de Ferreira 38.7%
Draw 29.2%
Oliveirense 32.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.8%
28.9%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.3%
27.9%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Paços de Ferreira - Oliveirense Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rafa (G) 22. Mota 23. Ferreira T. (C) 77. Rafael 5. Sousa A. 26. Cunha N. 88. Francisco Ramos 47. da Silva Moreira I. A. 8. Costa D. 90. Lumungo R. 11. Fale M.
31. Ribeiro R. (C) 13. Santos V. 4. Bura 75. Namora N. 19. Lopes A. 99. Sabino 90. Brito T. 8. Ondoa F. 21. Silva J. 9. Martelo P. 10. Bruno Silva
Substitutes
15. Dias L. 7. Diego Fernandes 14. Duarte R. 4. Kauan 28. Marafona (G) 19. Nito 13. Pinto J. 36. Silva V. 9. Victor J.
26. Bastos L. 16. Diallo A. 40. Greis N. (G) 23. Gustavao 11. Joanderson 7. Joao Adriano 17. Lucas Henrique 3. Mateus Raniel 14. Pereira D.
Coaches
Braga N.
Silva R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Mota 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Silva J. 🟨,
64', da Silva Moreira I. A. 🟨,
66', Mota ↓, Dias L. ↑,
66', Lumungo R. ↓, Silva V. ↑,
67', Sabino 🟨,
69', Martelo P. ↓, Gustavao ↑,
77', Cunha N. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
77', da Silva Moreira I. A. ↓, Victor J. ↑,
79', Sabino ↓, Joanderson ↑,
79', Silva J. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
86', Costa D. ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
87', Victor J. 🟨,
90+2', Gustavao 🟨,
90+8', Bura (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 3.
Recent form of Paços de Ferreira has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Oliveirense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Oliveirense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:6. (average 1.6:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Paços de Ferreira won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
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Rafa (G) 
Costa D. 
Lumungo R. 
Sabino 
Ondoa F. 
Nito 
Diallo A. 
Greis N. (G) 
