Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos Osorio (Oliveira de Azemeis)

Referee: Lima F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
Portugal	Sporting TV, Sport TV2


	Oliveirense		Vizela

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	2
	3.5	3.3	2.02
	3.65	3.38	2.1
	3.59	3.49	2	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.05
	3.6	3.34	2.03
	3.66	3.25	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↓ (3.8)	3.29 ↓ (3.44)	2.03 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveirense
26.3%

Draw
28.1%

Vizela
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

27.1%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

26.5%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Vizela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Oliveirense - Vizela Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Oliveirense will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Vizela will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ribeiro R. (C) 2. Douglas Borel 13. Santos V. 75. Namora N. 19. Lopes A. 99. Sabino 90. Brito T. 8. Ondoa F. 21. Silva J. 88. Rodriguez Y. 7. Joao Adriano	1. Gomis A. (G) 77. Jojo 13. Rocha L. 4. Rhyner J. (C) 2. Cvijanovic I. 45. Ivanov H. 5. Moha Moukhliss 21. Ramos R. 24. Morschel H. 11. Thio 23. Fortune Y.
Substitutes
26. Bastos L. 10. Bruno Silva 16. Diallo A. 40. Greis N. (G) 23. Gustavao 11. Joanderson 17. Lucas Henrique 9. Martelo P. 14. Pereira D.	8. Bastunov A. 22. Busnic A. 55. Hristov A. 40. Italo Henrique 29. Kitala Y. 36. Lacava M. 7. Loppy D. 9. Manu 25. Ruly (G)
Coaches
Pinto J.	Silva N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', Douglas Borel 🟥,
10', Cvijanovic I. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Sabino ⚽, Silva J. (A),
30', Jojo 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Rodriguez Y. ⚽, Joao Adriano (A),
45+3', Rodriguez Y. ↓, Gustavao ↑,
45+7', Brito T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fortune Y. ↓, Manu ↑,
46', Jojo ↓, Lacava M. ↑,
46', Cvijanovic I. ↓, Loppy D. ↑,
55', Joao Adriano ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
62', Ivanov H. ↓, Kitala Y. ↑,
65', Silva J. 🟨,
72', 3 - 0, Ramos R. (Own goal),
80', Brito T. ↓, Bastos L. ↑,
83', Bastos L. 🟨,
87', Kitala Y. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 6).

Oliveirense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vizela's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vizela is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Oliveirense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Vizela	6	3	2	1	7:4	3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Oliveirense - the odds 3.8 are the expected chance of winning is 24.55%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
01.02.26	Sporting Lisbon B - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Oliveirense - Penafiel	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Farense - Oliveirense	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Oliveirense - Feirense	3:4 ✺
03.01.26	Felgueiras - Oliveirense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWTLL
- FC Vizela
Portuguese Liga 2
31.01.26	Vizela - Portimonense	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Porto B - Vizela	1:0 ✺
21.01.26	Leiria - Vizela	2:2 ✺
15.01.26	Vizela - Paços de Ferreira	3:0 ✺
05.01.26	Vizela - Torreense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
31.08.25	Vizela - Oliveirense	1:0
09.03.25	Oliveirense - Vizela	0:1
24.11.24	Vizela - Oliveirense	0:0
30.01.21	Oliveirense - Vizela	0:3
12.09.20	Vizela - Oliveirense	2:1

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