Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 18

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Vizela		Paços de Ferreira

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.25	4.75
	1.72	3.5	4.65
	1.7	3.63	5	Watch
	1.7	3.1	4.8
	1.74	3.4	4.97	Watch
	1.71	3.25	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.58)	3.36 ↓ (3.91)	4.92 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vizela
53.9%

Draw
27.4%

Paços de Ferreira
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

23.9%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

21.5%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vizela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vizela's form might have worsened.

Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Vizela - Paços de Ferreira Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Vizela will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vizela: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vizela (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gomis A. (G) 40. Italo Henrique 4. Rhyner J. (C) 55. Hristov A. 20. Godwin O. 8. Bastunov A. 22. Busnic A. 7. Loppy D. 24. Morschel H. 21. Ramos R. 29. Kitala Y.	1. Rafa (G) 22. Mota 23. Ferreira T. (C) 77. Rafael 5. Sousa A. 26. Cunha N. 88. Francisco Ramos 13. Pinto J. 36. Silva V. 9. Victor J. 11. Fale M.
Substitutes
18. Demchenko N. 23. Fortune Y. 77. Jojo 6. Jota Goncalves 14. Pierre L. 37. Sampaio J. 92. Souza P. (G) 17. Tavares M. 11. Thio	21. Anilson 15. Dias L. 3. Diegao 33. Fernandinho 12. Jeimes (G) 4. Kauan 90. Lumungo R. 10. Matheus Martins 19. Nito
Coaches
Silva N.	Braga N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Ramos R. 🟨,
42', Rafa 🟨,
44', Sousa A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', Fale M. 🟨,
51', 1 - 0, Busnic A. ⚽,
53', Silva V. ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
64', Sousa A. ↓, Anilson ↑,
64', Mota ↓, Lumungo R. ↑,
64', Cunha N. ↓, Dias L. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Ramos R. ⚽, Bastunov A. (A),
74', 🟨,
79', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vizela won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Vizela is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Vizela won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Vizela won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Vizela	6	3	2	1	7:4	3	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vizela
Portuguese Liga 2
05.01.26	Vizela - Torreense	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Vizela - Académico de Viseu	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Vizela	0:1 ✺
08.12.25	Farense - Vizela	2:0 ✺
01.12.25	Vizela - Feirense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWLT
- Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2
04.01.26	Penafiel - Paços de Ferreira	1:2 ✺
28.12.25	Paços de Ferreira - Farense	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Feirense - Paços de Ferreira	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Paços de Ferreira - Lusitânia	1:5 ✺
07.12.25	Chaves - Paços de Ferreira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
09.08.25	Paços de Ferreira - Vizela	1:2
16.03.25	Vizela - Paços de Ferreira	2:1
25.10.24	Paços de Ferreira - Vizela	1:1
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Vizela - Paços de Ferreira	2:0
Liga Portugal
29.04.23	Vizela - Paços de Ferreira	1:2
13.11.22	Paços de Ferreira - Vizela	0:2
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Paços de Ferreira - Vizela	1:2

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